Who won the 16:53 Naas on 4 July 2026?
Rodeo Blues (IRE) won the 16:53 Naas at SP 3.75. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
← All racecards16:53
Naas
IrelandCare At Home Handicap (0-60)
Saturday, 4 July 2026
1m3f·Flat·Good·15 runners·€5,900
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stRodeo Blues (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien11/4J·3.75SP
- 2ndMillhone (IRE)Rory Mulligan·Charles Weld·beaten .5 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdPoint Cartwright (IRE)Ronan Whelan·Adrian McGuinness·beaten .5 lengths11/4J·3.75SP
Race time
2m 20.16s+1.96s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.050.9/100 rating
Private Larry
17.00Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way43.1/100 rating
Connecteo
7.50William Hill
Place portion settles at 2.63 · 1/4 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Private Larry
Leigh Roche · Alan McIntyre · 3yo
50.9/100
+7.8 vs next best (43.1)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongAlan McIntyre: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%)
- Freshness10% weight70strong1d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
- Form20% weight33weakLast 6: 0-0-0-8-8-1
MarketBest price 17.00 (Bet365) — 9th pick of 19 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | 19 | 3yo · C · brt | 08785 | 10-00 | 60 | — | — | 38.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP | |
| 7 | 2 | 9 | 3yo · G · cht | 00824 | 10-00 | 60 | — | — | 43.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 1 | 3 | 15 | 3yo · F · b/br | 090461 | 9-13 | 59 | — | — | 42.7 | 11/4J·3.75 SP | |
| 8 | 4 | 17 | 3yo · G · bhFT H | 75009 | 9-13 | 59 | — | — | 31.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP | |
| 11 | 5 | 8 | 3yo · G · b | 00067 | 9-10 | 56 | — | — | 32.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 3yo · G · b | 90952 | 9-08 | 54 | — | — | 38.6 | 11/4J·3.75 SP | |
| 15 | 7 | 6 | 3yo · F · b | 99005 | 9-06 | 52 | — | — | 29.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 3yo · G · ch | 40484 | 9-06 | 52 | — | — | 37.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP | |
| 2 | 10 | 13 | 3yo · F · chp | 00079 | 9-05 | 51 | — | — | 38.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 3yo · F · btFT T | 00606 | 9-05 | 51 | — | — | 38.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP | |
| 10 | 12 | 16 | 3yo · F · chtpFT TP | 0967 | 9-04 | 50 | — | — | 33.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| 12 | 13 | 11 | 3yo · F · bvFT V | 70006 | 9-01 | 47 | — | — | 38.2 | 50/1·51.00 SP | |
| 5 | 14 | 12 | 3yo · G · b/br | 88003 | 8-10 | 42 | — | — | 26.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 6 | 15 | 18 | 3yo · G · b | 00506 | 8-10 | 42 | — | — | 23.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP | |
| 16 | 16 | 7 | 3yo · F · bb | 99600 | 8-09 | 41 | — | — | 34.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP | |
| 13 | 17 | 10 | 3yo · F · chhtFT HT | 00336 | 9-05 | 51 | — | — | 33.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| — | — | 2 | 3yo · F · bp | 099604 | 8-08 | 40 | — | — | 24.0 | — | |
| — | — | 3 | 3yo · G · bh | 000881 | 9-06 | 52 | — | — | 50.9 | — | |
| — | — | 14 | 3yo · F · gr | 8060 | 9-07 | 53 | — | — | 26.1 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:53 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Private Larry) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 16:53 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Rodeo Blues (IRE) (3.75), 2. Millhone (IRE) (17.00), 3. Point Cartwright (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 16:53 Naas?
The winning time was 2m 20.16s, 1.96s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyCHAPEL ISLAND, carrying the top weight, remains the pick on figures, with the sense that there's more still to come from him. Rodeo Blues, bidding to follow up a recent success despite a 12lb rise in the weights, and Point Cartwright, turned over only by a well-backed rival last time in form that has since worked out well, look the most obvious dangers, while Captain Con is also open to more improvement at bigger odds. It's a big, competitive field, but CHAPEL ISLAND gets the vote at medium confidence.
Racing Post pick: Chapel Island
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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