Who won the 16:20 Dundalk (AW) on 12 July 2026?
Baila Conmigo (IRE) won the 16:20 Dundalk (AW) at SP 9.00. Ridden by Jack Kearney. Trained by Ciaran Murphy.
← All racecards16:20
Dundalk (AW)
IrelandFairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap
Sunday, 12 July 2026
1m4f·Flat·Standard·11 runners·€7,068
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stBaila Conmigo (IRE)Jack Kearney·Ciaran Murphy8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndCeltic Druid (IRE)Sadhbh Tormey·T G McCourt·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdMystic Rose (IRE)Rory Mulligan·Patrick Magee·beaten 2.25 lengths20/1·21.00SP
Race time
2m 35.89s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Baila Conmigo (IRE))
“raced close to the pace - hit the front after three furlongs - held a slender lead and drifted a touch right approaching the furlong marker before staying on strongly”
AI top-rated Tero D'rosa (score 48.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.048.5/100 rating
Tero D'rosa
5.50Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way48.5/100 rating
Tero D'rosa
5.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Tero D'rosa
Patrick McGettigan(2) · Ross O'Sullivan · 4yo
48.5/100
+2.4 vs next best (46.1)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong30d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight50averageRoss O'Sullivan: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 3-2-1-6-6
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketBest price 5.50 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 12 | 5yo · G · b | 11473 | 10-00 | 67 | — | — | 42.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 5yo · G · bv | 60000 | 9-12 | 65 | — | — | 34.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP | |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 4yo · G · b | 513025 | 9-11 | 64 | — | — | 39.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP | |
| 6 | 4 | 11 | 9yo · G · btb | 72860 | 9-11 | 64 | — | — | 46.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP | |
| 8 | 5 | 9 | 5yo · G · chb | 224300 | 9-10 | 63 | — | — | 33.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 4 | 6 | 10 | 4yo · G · b | 32166 | 9-09 | 62 | — | — | 48.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 9 | 7 | 6 | 6yo · G · bp | 12034 | 9-07 | 60 | — | — | 38.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 3yo · C · b | 6910 | 9-06 | 71 | — | — | 38.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 7 | 11 | 13 | 3yo · G · b | 044 | 9-00 | 65 | — | — | 43.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP | |
| 3 | 12 | 2 | 4yo · F · btpFT TP | 640755 | 8-11 | 50 | — | — | 28.4 | 20/1·21.00 SP | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 4yo · G · ch | 0054 | 8-07 | 45 | — | — | 40.4 | 7/2F·4.50 SP | |
| — | — | 3 | 6yo · G · grt | 64019 | 9-06 | 59 | — | — | 36.9 | — | |
| — | — | 4 | 4yo · F · btb | 718030 | 9-07 | 60 | — | — | 32.2 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tero D'rosa) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Baila Conmigo (IRE) (9.00), 2. Celtic Druid (IRE) (5.50), 3. Mystic Rose (IRE) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 35.89s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyPorsche Lad is our selection over today's 12f at Dundalk, edging it on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge over most of these dangers, having run just 9 days ago. Confidence is medium, the case resting on that profile and freshness rather than his last two starts. Sutton Hoo, level with him at the top of our figures, is the main threat, while Rich Belief and Dancing Steve also carry solid claims. All three will need to be at their best to overhaul him.
Racing Post pick: Porsche Lad
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org