Who won the 16:20 Dundalk (AW) on 12 July 2026?
Baila Conmigo (IRE) won the 16:20 Dundalk (AW) at SP 9.00. Ridden by Jack Kearney. Trained by Ciaran Murphy.
16:20 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandFairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap
1m4f · Flat · Standard · 11 runners · €7,068 · Sunday, 12 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stBaila Conmigo (IRE)Jack Kearney·Ciaran Murphy8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndCeltic Druid (IRE)Sadhbh Tormey·T G McCourt·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdMystic Rose (IRE)Rory Mulligan·Patrick Magee·beaten 2.25 lengths20/1·21.00SP
Race time
2m 35.89s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Baila Conmigo (IRE))
“raced close to the pace - hit the front after three furlongs - held a slender lead and drifted a touch right approaching the furlong marker before staying on strongly”
AI top-rated Tero D'rosa (score 48.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way48.5/100 rating
Tero D'rosa
5.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Porsche Lad
Porsche Lad is our selection over today's 12f at Dundalk, edging it on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge over most of these dangers, having run just 9 days ago. Confidence is medium, the case resting on that profile and freshness rather than his last two starts. Sutton Hoo, level with him at the top of our figures, is the main threat, while Rich Belief and Dancing Steve also carry solid claims. All three will need to be at their best to overhaul him.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tero D'rosa
Patrick McGettigan(2) · Ross O'Sullivan · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 48.5 · +2.4 clear of next best (46.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong30d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight50averageRoss O'Sullivan: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 3-2-1-6-6
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketBest price 5.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.89
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.09
High (10–13)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jack Kearney · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 513025 | 64 | 39.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 12 5yo · G · b | 11473 | 67 | 42.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 12 | J: Rory Mulligan(2) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 2 4yo · F · btpFT TP | 640755 | 50 | 28.4 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Patrick McGettigan(2) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 32166 | 62 | 48.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 13 | J: Julian Pietropaolo(4) · T: J A Nash · draw 8 4yo · G · ch | 0054 | 45 | 40.4 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Jack Cleary · T: Karl Thornton · draw 11 9yo · G · btb | 72860 | 64 | 46.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Keithen Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 13 3yo · G · b | 044 | 65 | 43.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: P J F Murphy · draw 9 5yo · G · chb | 224300 | 63 | 33.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: John C McConnell · draw 6 6yo · G · bp | 12034 | 60 | 38.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Sam Coen(2) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1 5yo · G · bv | 60000 | 65 | 34.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Paddy Harnett · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 6910 | 71 | 38.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Karl Thornton · draw 3 6yo · G · grt | 64019 | 59 | 36.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Anthony McCann · draw 4 4yo · F · btb | 718030 | 60 | 32.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tero D'rosa) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Baila Conmigo (IRE) (9.00), 2. Celtic Druid (IRE) (5.50), 3. Mystic Rose (IRE) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 35.89s.
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