Who won the 18:20 Lingfield on 15 July 2026?
Fire Thunder (IRE) won the 18:20 Lingfield at SP 1.25. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by Marco Botti.
18:20 Lingfield
Hamways Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 1/4F·1.25Race report
- 1stFire Thunder (IRE)AI top pick · 54.1Tom Marquand·Marco Botti1/4F·1.25SP
- 2ndLangdale Lass (GB)Sean Levey·David Simcock·beaten .5 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdMrs Mole (IRE)David Probert·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 2.75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 11.43s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fire Thunder (IRE))
“In touch with the pace early - up to second two furlongs out - driven to hit the front just over a furlong out and stayed on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way30.5/100 rating
Palm Breeze
10.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.25 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Fire Thunder
Tom Marquand · Marco Botti · 2yo
Top-rated of 7
score 54.1 · +23.6 clear of next best (30.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong41d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2-2-2
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35below averageMarco Botti: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 1.39 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Lingfield 6f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.83
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.21
High (6–7)
IV 1.00
Today: Palm Breeze (draw 5) and Nightspell (draw 4) get the bias; Fire Thunder (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 222 | 69 | 54.1 | 1/4F·1.25 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Sean Levey · T: David Simcock · draw 7 2yo · F · br | — | — | 19.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: David Probert · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 49 | — | 13.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 4 2yo · F · b | — | — | 25.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Hilal Kobeissi · draw 3 2yo · F · bhFT H | — | — | 25.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Clare Hobson · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 89 | — | 10.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| PU | 7 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Loughnane · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 30.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:20 Lingfield?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Fire Thunder, won the race (AI score 54.1).
What were the placings in the 18:20 Lingfield?
Top finishers: 1. Fire Thunder (IRE) (1.25), 2. Langdale Lass (GB) (15.00), 3. Mrs Mole (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:20 Lingfield?
The winning time was 1m 11.43s.
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