XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race)
Friday, 17 July 2026
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler · 3yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 3yo · G · b | 32597 | 9-09 | 70 | — | — | 40.7 | 5/1·5.83 | 4·5.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 3 | 6 | 3yo · F · b | 35442 | 9-07 | 68 | — | — | 43.7 | 13/2·7.41 | 11/2·6.50Midnite | ||
| 4 | 1 | 3yo · F · b | 27446 | 9-06 | 67 | — | — | 43.8 | 14/1·14.82 | 12/1·13.00Bet365 | ||
| 5 | 5 | 3yo · G · b | 74773 | 9-05 | 66 | — | — | 38.8 | 9/2·5.39 | 7/2·4.50Bet365 | ||
| 6 | 7 | 3yo · G · brp | 34455 | 9-05 | 66 | — | — | 40.9 | 10/1·11.45 | 8/1·9.00Bet365 | ||
| 7 | 3 | 3yo · G · bh | 072104 | 9-03 | 64 | — | — | 48.2 | 11/2·6.74 | 9/2·5.50Virgin Bet | ||
| 8 | 4 | 3yo · G · b | 70143 | 8-06 | 53 | — | — | 34.8 | 17/2·9.43 | 8·8.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| — | 2 | 3yo · G · ch | 7220 | 9-08 | 69 | — | — | 42.6 | 9/1·10.11 | 13/2·7.50BetWright |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 8–30 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
The XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race) is off at 16:02 on 17 July 2026 at Nottingham (Great Britain).
6f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.
The AI top-rated runner is Rousham (score 48.2, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
The market favourite is Robert Anstruther at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Rousham.
Night Mission is our selection, holding the highest figure in this six-furlong race, with a runner-up placing four starts back the standout of his recent form and today's trip already proven. A 49-day break since is the one query, and the gap back to several closely-matched rivals is only a handful of pounds, so this is far from clear-cut. Confidence is low, but Night Mission edges it on the figures.
Racing Post pick: Night Mission
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org