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XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Robert Anstruther (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Henry Candy
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Slot (GB)
    Cam Hardie·Antony Brittain·beaten 2.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Black Missile (IRE)
    Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 1.75 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.42s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Robert Anstruther (GB))

settled in second early - driven to reel in the pacesetter 1f out - hit the front approaching the final 110yds - ran on strongly to come home clear

AI top-rated Rousham (score 47.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.7/100 rating
Rousham
9.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Night Mission

Night Mission is our selection, holding the highest figure in this six-furlong race, with a runner-up placing four starts back the standout of his recent form and today's trip already proven. A 49-day break since is the one query, and the gap back to several closely-matched rivals is only a handful of pounds, so this is far from clear-cut. Confidence is low, but Night Mission edges it on the figures.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rousham

Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 47.7 · +3.4 clear of next best (44.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 0-7-2-1-0-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Nigel Tinkler: 3/20 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 9.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.90
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–8)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Joanna Mason · T: Henry Candy · draw 5
3yo · G · b
74773
6638.8
13/8F·2.62
SP
23
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 6
3yo · F · b
35442
6843.7
9/1·10.00
SP
36
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 7
3yo · G · brp
34455
6640.9
10/1·11.00
SP
41
3yo · G · b
32597
7039.2
2/1·3.00
SP
58
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4
3yo · G · b
70143
5334.8
12/1·13.00
SP
67
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
3yo · G · bh
072104
6447.7
15/2·8.50
SP
74
J: Harry Davies · T: Clive Cox · draw 1
3yo · F · b
27446
6744.3
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 2
3yo · G · ch
7220
6940.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:02 Nottingham on 17 July 2026?

Robert Anstruther (GB) won the 16:02 Nottingham at SP 2.62. Ridden by Joanna Mason. Trained by Henry Candy.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:02 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Rousham) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:02 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Robert Anstruther (GB) (2.62), 2. Slot (GB) (10.00), 3. Black Missile (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:02 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 11.42s.

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