Who won the 20:30 Down Royal on 17 July 2026?
Sea Of Dubka (IRE) won the 20:30 Down Royal at SP 4.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Henry De Bromhead.
20:30 Down Royal
IrelandAmpion Electrical Testing And Solar Experts Handicap
1m5f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 17 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSea Of Dubka (IRE)Colin Keane·Henry De Bromhead3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndAugusta Rock (IRE)AI top pick · 44.9Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 3.5 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdGlen Echo (IRE)Gary Carroll·Gavin Cromwell·beaten .75 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
2m 47.59s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sea Of Dubka (IRE))
“led from the break - urged for effort 2f out - driven out and stayed on strongly from over 1f out”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way41.4/100 rating
Sea Of Dubka
5.30Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Chapel Island
Chapel Island heads this seven on a rating of 76, clear of Leeward's 69 with the rest packed below. Our confidence in the selection is only medium, in a race that looks more open than the rating gap alone suggests. Leeward is the most obvious danger on these figures, with Onyeisi and Sea Of Dubka, both rated 63, next in line. Chapel Island remains our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Augusta Rock
Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 44.9 · +3.5 clear of next best (41.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight90very strongJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 20/56 winners last 14d (36%)
- Freshness10% weight70strong4d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight34weakOR 51
- Form20% weight15weakLast 6: 0-0-8-8-5
MarketBest price 3.65 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Down Royal 1m5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.92
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.31
High (6–7)
IV 0.81
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Colin Keane · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 08345 | 61 | 41.4 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · G · chbFT B | 00885 | 51 | 44.9 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 0700 | 60 | 31.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | 3yo · C · brt | 87854 | 59 | 34.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 404840 | 51 | 33.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6 3yo · C · bbFT B | 9780 | 66 | 36.3 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Karl Thornton · draw 7 3yo · G · bb | 270740 | 55 | 32.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Down Royal?
No — the AI top pick (Augusta Rock) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Down Royal?
Top finishers: 1. Sea Of Dubka (IRE) (4.00), 2. Augusta Rock (IRE) (3.50), 3. Glen Echo (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Down Royal?
The winning time was 2m 47.59s.
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