Who won the 15:53 Ripon on 18 July 2026?
Poet's Dawn (GB) won the 15:53 Ripon at SP 11.00. Ridden by Sean Kirrane. Trained by Tim Easterby.
15:53 Ripon
Sky Bet Go-racing-in-yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stPoet's Dawn (GB)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndYermanthere (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdLucky Hero (IRE)Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 2 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
2m 4.78s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Poet's Dawn (GB))
“Set the pace from the start - overtaken after 2f but stayed close up - driven and improved to hit the front again over 1f out - overtaken once more in the final furlong - fought back quickly to regain the advantage towards the line”
AI top-rated Wild Violet (score 53.9) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Midnight Strike
Midnight Strike, Lucky Hero and Qitaal are inseparable on our figures, all rated 84, but Midnight Strike gets the vote on a progressive profile and a fitness edge over those rivals. Lucky Hero and Qitaal remain the obvious dangers on identical figures, with Yermanthere also capable on a useful rating of 76. Midnight Strike is our selection at moderate confidence in this tightly-matched Class 4.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Wild Violet
Oisin Orr · Michael Bell · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 53.9 · +4.1 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight86very strongLast 6: 3-2-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong34d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 77
- Trainer20% weight13weakMichael Bell: 1/19 winners last 14d (5%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ripon 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.93
High (5–6)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 75 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 11yo · G · chp | 141663 | 66 | 43.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 8yo · G · ch | 50512 | 68 | 49.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 38104 | 76 | 43.9 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6 7yo · G · ch | 425233 | 76 | 49.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 2 4yo · G · btp | 00081 | 80 | 49.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Michael Bell · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 321 | 77 | 53.9 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:53 Ripon?
No — the AI top pick (Wild Violet) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 15:53 Ripon?
Top finishers: 1. Poet's Dawn (GB) (11.00), 2. Yermanthere (IRE) (5.00), 3. Lucky Hero (IRE) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:53 Ripon?
The winning time was 2m 4.78s.
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