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RacingAlpha

19:15 Doncaster

Summer Fun At Lakeside Village Outlet Shopping Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Thapa VC (IRE)
    Kevin Stott·Mark Rimell
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Havana Mojito (GB)
    Conor Whiteley·John Gallagher·beaten .75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Travis (GB)
    William Pyle·Geoffrey Harker·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 24.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Thapa VC (IRE))

Fought for restraint early - Restrained towards the back - Sent along and made strong progress over 1f out - Edged left to hit the front entering the final 110 yards and stayed on well to the finish

AI top-rated Renewable Dream (score 50.2) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way42.9/100 rating
Big Apple Jack
9.50BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Travis

Travis is the selection in this competitive Class 6 event, preferred to the tied-top-rated Maxi Boy and Thapa VC on a progressive profile that has him heading the right way. He sits only narrowly behind that pair on our figures, and with eight runners in a tight cluster the form book carries real weight here. Maxi Boy, Thapa VC and Wilde And Dandy all pose the biggest threats, but confidence in Travis is low given how close this field rates.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Renewable Dream

Gianluca Sanna(5) · John Wainwright · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.2 · +6.6 clear of next best (43.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    John Wainwright: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    173d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
  • Form20% weight
    15weak
    Last 6: 3-3-9-0-9
MarketBest price 19.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Kevin Stott · T: Mark Rimell · draw 3
8yo · G · btb
534325
6338.4
100/30F·4.33
SP
28
5yo · G · grb
45222
5642.5
11/2·6.50
SP
31
J: William Pyle · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 9
5yo · G · b
250013
6440.8
7/2·4.50
SP
45
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5
4yo · F · b
32593
6243.6
50/1·51.00
SP
57
4yo · G · b
02842
5842.9
15/2·8.50
SP
63
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Fionn McSharry · draw 2
9yo · G · b
88404
6336.2
11/2·6.50
SP
76
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7
6yo · G · b
83693
5941.5
9/2·5.50
SP
84
4yo · G · b
33909
6250.2
14/1·15.00
SP
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8
4yo · G · b
000829
5642.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:15 Doncaster on 18 July 2026?

Thapa VC (IRE) won the 19:15 Doncaster at SP 4.33. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Mark Rimell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Renewable Dream) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 19:15 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Thapa VC (IRE) (4.33), 2. Havana Mojito (GB) (6.50), 3. Travis (GB) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:15 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 24.71s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org