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18:40

Hamilton

Great Britain

Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Friday, 17 July 2026

6f·Flat·Class 5·5 runners·£4,187

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.057.9/100 rating
Fern Clyde
5.00Bet365· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Racing Alpha pick

Fern Clyde

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 2yo

57.9/100
+2.2 vs next best (55.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 6-4-3-1-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    trainer 14-day form unknown
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) — 4th pick of 5 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners

#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAIFairBest priceAdd to betslip
14
2yo · F · chht
64313
9-097457.9
5/1·5.90
4/1·5.00Bet365
22
2yo · C · b
736
9-087350.8
7/2·4.72
3/1·4.00Bet365
31
2yo · F · bp
4512
9-087355.7
11/4·3.69
5/2·3.50Bet365
45
2yo · C · b
012
9-057054.8
5/2·3.54
2/1·3.00Bet365
53
2yo · F · b
238
9-026748.4
14/1·15.34
12/1·13.00Bet365

Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 31 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 18:40 on 17 July 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:40 Hamilton?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:40 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Fern Clyde (score 57.9, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:40 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Brandenburg at a best price of 3.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Fern Clyde.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Our selection is Quiet Soul, sitting clear at the head of our figures for this Class 5 sprint despite being without a win in its last three starts — a runner-up effort and a third among those runs suggest more ability than the bare results show. A 35-day break is the one concern, but the scale of its rating edge is enough to outweigh that, even though this looks an open, low-confidence renewal on our book. The chief danger is a rival that won two starts back and followed up with a runner-up effort next time, giving it solid form of its own, but on merit Quiet Soul remains our pick.

Racing Post pick: Quiet Soul

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org