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13:50 York

Feature

Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 19 runners · £141,775 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 10 · score 71.0 · +3.1 clear of next best · best 4/1·4.80
Best value vs consensus
28·28.00 Betfair Exchange · +22% vs fair (consensus 23.05)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way71.0/100 rating
Libertango
4.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Libertango

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 19
score 71.0 · +3.1 clear of next best (67.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    41d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    71strong
    OR 107 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    George Boughey: 4/22 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 4.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.37
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.90
High (14–19)
IV 0.69

Today: Miss Kodi (draw 7) and Love A Giggle (draw 2) get the bias; Libertango (draw 15) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
10
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 15 · combo 22/104 (21%)
2yo · F · bD
112
10771.07/2·4.744.8·4.80
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
14
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 16 · combo 19/99 (19%)
2yo · F · bD
121
10067.916/1·17.6224·24.00
Smarkets · +36% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
19
J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10 · combo 4/17 (24%)
2yo · F · bOn last winning markOnly pairing
101
9866.517/2·9.498.2·8.20
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 18 · combo 19/77 (25%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 2/3Only runner
3311
10666.411/1·11.529.6·9.60
Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 7 · combo 7/36 (19%)
2yo · F · bD
15
9565.828/1·28.4726·26.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 8 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
167
9564.350/1·55.5866/1·67.00
SmarketsSBK · +21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 12 · combo 12/78 (15%)
2yo · F · bDOnly pairing
14
9563.325/1·25.7625·25.00
Smarkets · -3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2 · combo 25/101 (25%)
2yo · F · b
1104
9260.866/1·67.7855·55.00
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
17
J: Tom Marquand · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5
2yo · F · bGoing 1/2Only pairing
172
9559.328/1·28.4722/1·23.00
William Hill · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 13 · combo 10/67 (15%)
2yo · F · bvCGoing 2/4
321041
10259.350/1·46.0942·42.00
Smarkets · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
2yo · F · bOnly ride
210
8955.950/1·55.5850/1·51.00
William Hill · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard Hughes · draw 9 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
31019
9154.550/1·55.5865·65.00
Matchbook · +17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 11 · combo 4/59 (7%)
2yo · F · bD
41
8754.350/1·46.09100·100.00
Smarkets · +117% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 1 · combo 7/41 (17%)
2yo · F · grD
2518
8453.1100/1·109.81180·180.00
Matchbook · +64% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: William Buick · T: Andrew Balding · draw 14 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
195
9251.950/1·46.0950·50.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 3 · combo 4/43 (9%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
32510
9751.833/1·35.2540·40.00
Smarkets · +14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
2yo · F · bOnly runner
6093
7537.6150/1·170.82300·300.00
Matchbook · +76% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
18
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 · combo 43/205 (21%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 1/2
21
32.07/2·4.743.85·3.85
Smarkets · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: P J McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 4 · combo 2/15 (13%)
2yo · F · grFirst after wind opOnly runner
1
28.522/1·23.0528·28.00
Betfair Exchange · +22% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2)?

The Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) is off at 13:50 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:50 York?

6f, Class 1, Flat, 19 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:50 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:50 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Libertango (score 71.0, best price 4.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:50 York?

The market favourite is Star Of State at a best price of 3.85. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Libertango.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org