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15:35 York

Feature

Sky Bet Ebor Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBplus Race)

1m6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 24 runners · £300,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 78.0 · +4.5 clear of next best · best 20/1·22.00
Best value vs consensus
48·48.00 Matchbook · +25% vs fair (consensus 38.43)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way71.0/100 rating
Love Me Tender
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: EmitDiffers from our pick

Emit appeals here on a progressive profile that suggests there is more improvement to come, and over fourteen furlongs on good-to-soft ground at York the conditions look tailor-made for a horse still on the upgrade. Epic Poet heads the field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Furthur, and both must be respected alongside Paradias, who matches Emit's rating and cannot be dismissed in a competitive 24-runner Class 2. Confidence is tempered given the depth of the field, but the case for an improver over a well-established stayer is compelling enough to side with Emit.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Hollywood

Saffie Osborne · W P Mullins · 6yo

Top-rated of 24
score 78.0 · +4.5 clear of next best (73.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    W P Mullins: 10/25 winners last 14d (40%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    70strong
    OR 105
  • Form20% weight
    65average
    Last 6: 2-5-4-1-3
MarketBest price 22.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 24.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

low
IV 1.16
middle
IV 0.57
high
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Saffie Osborne · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
6yo · G · b
25413
10578.018/1·19.2122·22.00
Matchbook · +14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
4yo · G · bOn last winning markOnly rideOnly runner
21201
10273.550/1·50.2550·50.00
Matchbook
All 29 books ▾
1
J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 0 · combo 3/11 (27%)
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
93112
11072.918/1·19.2120·20.00
Smarkets · +4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
22
J: William Buick · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
114
9671.07/1·8.137.2·7.20
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: George Boughey · draw 0
4yo · G · bOn last winning markDOnly runner
29361
10168.014/1·14.7812·12.00
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
17
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 0 · combo 17/126 (13%)
4yo · C · b
21217
9864.39/1·10.358.6·8.60
Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
19
J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 0 · combo 4/44 (9%)
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
31211
9761.418/1·19.2118.5·18.50
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 0 · combo 1/9 (11%)
5yo · G · brpOnly runner
12617
10160.780/1·75.38130·130.00
Smarkets · +73% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 0 · combo 2/15 (13%)
4yo · G · chDOnly pairing
35311
10560.516/1·16.2614·14.00
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 0 · combo 5/19 (26%)
4yo · G · b
73854
10560.311/1·11.8212.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 0 · combo 14/86 (16%)
6yo · G · btpOnly runner
15632
10459.528/1·31.0423·23.00
Betfair Exchange · -26% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 0 · combo 16/143 (11%)
7yo · G · bClass drop
553465
10959.350/1·50.2565·65.00
Matchbook · +29% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Ryan Moore · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%)
4yo · G · bt
43544
10457.510/1·11.098.2·8.20
Smarkets · -26% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Alan King · draw 0
7yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
313553
10757.480/1·75.38190·190.00
Smarkets · +152% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 0 · combo 22/104 (21%)
4yo · G · brpFT PClass drop
04604
10657.340/1·42.8644·44.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 0 · combo 3/27 (11%)
5yo · G · brpFT PD
06317
10255.350/1·50.2585·85.00
Matchbook · +69% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 0 · combo 5/20 (25%)
6yo · G · b
937060
10155.3100/1·119.72240·240.00
Smarkets · +100% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
16
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 0 · combo 8/75 (11%)
6yo · G · ch
52708
9954.340/1·42.8660·60.00
Matchbook · +40% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
18
J: Oisin Orr · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 0
7yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
26706
9853.240/1·38.4329·29.00
Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
24
J: · T: Ian Williams · draw 0
6yo · G · b
09051
9151.350/1·50.2550·50.00
Betfair Exchange
All 19 books ▾
15
J: Clifford Lee · T: Ian Williams · draw 0
6yo · G · bhtOnly pairing
236084
10150.222/1·22.1724·24.00
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
23
J: · T: Ian Williams · draw 0
9yo · G · btp
109903
9549.080/1·75.3850/1·51.00
7Bet · -32% vs fair
All 18 books ▾
21
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hughes · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly runner
46500
9648.366/1·60.6065·65.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
20
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ian Williams · draw 0 · combo 1/8 (13%)
7yo · G · btOnly pairing
407707
9645.340/1·38.4348·48.00
Matchbook · +25% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 18–29 bookmakers per horse with the 48% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Ebor Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBplus Race)?

The Sky Bet Ebor Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBplus Race) is off at 15:35 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:35 York?

1m6f, Class 2, Flat, 24 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:35 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:35 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Mr Hollywood (score 78.0, best price 22.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:35 York?

The market favourite is Love Me Tender at a best price of 7.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mr Hollywood.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org