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Next · 8h 5m19:08Worcester

14:30 Southwell (AW)

Prestige Safety Your Trusted Safety Partner Handicap Stakes

1m6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Flash Kozo (IRE)
    Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Desert Belle (GB)AI top pick · 61.2
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Glenna (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Tom Ward·beaten .75 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
Race time
3m 8.73s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Flash Kozo (IRE))

“racing in the pack - made ground 3f out - driven over 2f out and soon up into third - driven again 1f out - kept finding more to go on inside the final 110yds and drew clear”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way42.3/100 rating
Flash Kozo
4.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Glenna

Glenna is our selection, preferred to Marbuzet — rated just a pound higher — on a progressive profile and a fitness edge rather than pure figures. Marbuzet remains the chief danger on that narrow advantage, with Flash Kozo and Desert Belle also holding claims to place. Confidence is medium given how tight the form is between that leading trio, but Glenna's recent upward trend gives her the edge for us.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Desert Belle

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 61.2 · +9.1 clear of next best (52.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 8/22 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 2-1-4-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketBest price 4.10 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.84
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.16
High (8–10)
IV 1.03

Today: Glenna (draw 6) and Flash Kozo (draw 5) get the bias; Desert Belle (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 117 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
Flash Kozo
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
04305
6542.3
9/4·3.25
SP
27
Desert Belle
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1
3yo · F · b
21432
6761.2
11/4·3.75
SP
35
Glenna
J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 6
3yo · F · b
54521
7045.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
43
It's Only Fun
J: Jonny Peate · T: Sara Ender · draw 4
4yo · G · bp
644128
6252.1
33/1·34.00
SP
54
Further Measure
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Mike Murphy · draw 9
9yo · G · bp
41447
6237.6
16/1·17.00
SP
66
Easwrith Destiny
J: Robert Havlin · T: David Menuisier · draw 7
3yo · G · b
952
7041.8
16/1·17.00
SP
79
Tenison
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Peter Chapple-Hyam · draw 2
3yo · F · b
90041
6439.0
9/1·10.00
SP
810
Wave Power
J: Ray Dawson · T: Liam Bailey · draw 3
3yo · G · b
94365
6035.3
100/1·101.00
SP
92
Marbuzet
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
7yo · G · bp
12450
6942.8
40/1·41.00
SP
——
Victors Spirit
J: Charles Bishop · T: Neil King · draw 8
5yo · G · bh
612573
6942.6—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Southwell (AW) on 27 July 2026?

Flash Kozo (IRE) won the 14:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.25. Ridden by Kaiya Fraser. Trained by Harry Eustace.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Desert Belle) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Flash Kozo (IRE) (3.25), 2. Desert Belle (GB) (3.75), 3. Glenna (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 8.73s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org