15:30 Southwell (AW)

Prestige Safety E-learning @ Prestigesafetyservices.com Handicap Stakes

1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4F·2.75

1st
Roc De Fer (IRE)AI top pick · 58.5
Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
7/4F·2.75
SP
2nd
James Choice (GB)
Edward Greatrex·Warren Greatrex·beaten 1.5 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Prince Of Calypso (IRE)
Billy Loughnane·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.3 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

2m 25.69s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Roc De Fer (IRE))

“raced close up in second - went to the front over 2f out - driven clear over 2f out - driven again 1f out and kept finding more - drifted left approaching the finish to score comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: James Choice

James Choice is our selection, preferred to the higher-rated Alkumatic Jo Jo on a progressive profile with the clock backing up the form. Jo Jo is only narrowly ahead on our figures and remains a key danger alongside Carwyn and Fans Favourite, both capable of running well too. Confidence is low given how competitive this 14-strong field is, but James Choice's recent pattern and speed figures edge it for us.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Roc De Fer

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 58.5 · +3.0 clear of next best (55.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
90very strong
Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 8/22 winners last 14d (36%)
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
39d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 0-4-4-3
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 68

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.08

High (11–14)

IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	Roc De Fer J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 14 3yo · G · b	0443	9-07	68	—	—	58.5	7/4F·2.75 SP
2	3	James Choice J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 4 3yo · G · ch	6436	9-08	69	—	—	40.4	7/1·8.00 SP
3	1	Prince Of Calypso J: Billy Loughnane · T: Edward Bethell · draw 12 3yo · G · bp	337	9-09	70	—	—	44.8	12/1·13.00 SP
4	5	Ziggy's Avenger J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 9 3yo · G · b	08315	9-08	69	—	—	48.0	5/1·6.00 SP
5	4	Fans Favourite J: Kevin Stott · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 11 3yo · G · bp	87311	9-08	69	—	—	55.4	9/1·10.00 SP
6	11	Brave Leader J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT P	64564	9-04	65	—	—	36.9	6/1·7.00 SP
7	9	Alkumatic Jo Jo J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 3yo · F · b	56265	9-05	66	—	—	48.1	40/1·41.00 SP
8	8	Sun Lord J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10 3yo · C · b	387	9-06	67	—	—	38.0	11/1·12.00 SP
9	13	Tinsel J: P J McDonald · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2 3yo · G · ch	40614	9-03	64	—	—	37.6	20/1·21.00 SP
10	14	Seraglio Point J: Tom Marquand · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 13 3yo · C · b	683	9-02	63	—	—	38.3	18/1·19.00 SP
11	10	Miss Pretty J: Georgia Dobie · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 7 3yo · F · bpFT P	1703	9-04	65	—	—	54.1	12/1·13.00 SP
12	12	Carwyn J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 3 3yo · G · bp	69899	9-03	64	—	—	31.4	100/1·101.00 SP
13	7	Five Moons J: Josephine Gordon · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 8 3yo · F · ch	74446	9-06	67	—	—	45.8	66/1·67.00 SP
14	2	Corallience J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 5 3yo · F · bpFT P	607	9-09	70	—	—	34.0	40/1·41.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Southwell (AW) on 27 July 2026?

Roc De Fer (IRE) won the 15:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.75. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Southwell (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Roc De Fer, won the race (AI score 58.5).

What were the placings in the 15:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Roc De Fer (IRE) (2.75), 2. James Choice (GB) (8.00), 3. Prince Of Calypso (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 25.69s.

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