16:00 Southwell (AW)

Prestige Safety Fire Risk Assessments Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,245 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Filly Eilish (IRE)
Silvestre De Sousa·Ivan Furtado
16/1·17.00
SP
2nd
Venetian Lion (GB)
Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP
3rd
Kiani King (IRE)
Billy Loughnane·Hughie Morrison·beaten 2.25 lengths
9/4F·3.25
SP

Race time

1m 41.36s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Filly Eilish (IRE))

“handy in the pack - made headway over 2f out and swung right into second - moved to the head of affairs 1f out veering right under pressure - kept on strongly and wandered left in the final 110yds”

AI top-rated Back At One (score 51.5) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sagremor

This Class 6 contest over 8f on standard ground looks competitive but Sagremor sits clear on top of our figures at 74, five pounds ahead of Bosom Pals on 69. Thisonesforyou and Cobalt Comet both rate 68, only a pound further back, so there is depth to this field even below the leading pair. Sagremor is our selection on the strength of that rating edge, though with three others rated within six pounds this is only a medium-confidence pick. Bosom Pals, Thisonesforyou and Cobalt Comet are the chief dangers to him.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Back At One

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 51.5 · +0.4 clear of next best (51.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
88very strong
Roger Varian: 6/17 winners last 14d (35%)
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
31d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 62
Form20% weight
24weak
Last 6: 7-6-5

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.96

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.04

High (11–14)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Filly Eilish J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 3yo · F · b	3266	9-08	64	—	—	46.0	16/1·17.00 SP
2	3	Venetian Lion J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4 3yo · G · chtFT T	796	9-09	65	—	—	42.1	100/30·4.33 SP
3	6	Kiani King J: Billy Loughnane · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 9 3yo · G · b	4496	9-07	63	—	—	32.2	9/4F·3.25 SP
4	5	Thisonesforyou J: Georgia Dobie · T: Clive Cox · draw 12 3yo · G · b	81593	9-07	63	—	—	48.8	6/1·7.00 SP
5	9	Back At One J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 8 3yo · G · b	765	9-06	62	—	—	51.5	13/2·7.50 SP
6	13	Hatamoto J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 3yo · G · bp	237211	9-04	60	—	—	47.3	9/1·10.00 SP
7	10	Cobalt Comet J: P J McDonald · T: John Mackie · draw 5 3yo · G · bh	663351	9-06	62	—	—	40.9	17/2·9.50 SP
8	1	Topathemorning J: Jack Doughty · T: Stuart Williams · draw 13 3yo · F · b	658	9-09	65	—	—	42.8	25/1·26.00 SP
9	14	Medyg J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 7 3yo · G · bpFT P	25498	9-04	60	—	—	51.1	25/1·26.00 SP
10	12	Alkaios J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3 3yo · G · bh	599	9-05	61	—	—	30.8	66/1·67.00 SP
11	8	Bosom Pals J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 14 3yo · F · b	81040	9-06	62	—	—	34.4	33/1·34.00 SP
12	2	Sagremor J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 10 3yo · G · bh	04853	9-09	65	—	—	35.4	20/1·21.00 SP
13	11	Telfy Boy J: Luke Morris · T: Martin Dunne · draw 11 3yo · C · b	45724	9-05	61	—	—	50.5	22/1·23.00 SP
—	—	Mehmas Engine J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Luke Dace · draw 6 3yo · F · chh	33999	9-06	62	—	—	34.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 July 2026?

Filly Eilish (IRE) won the 16:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 17.00. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Ivan Furtado.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Back At One) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Filly Eilish (IRE) (17.00), 2. Venetian Lion (GB) (4.33), 3. Kiani King (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 41.36s.

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