Who won the 17:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 July 2026?
Storm Free (GB) won the 17:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by James Tate.
17:00 Southwell (AW)
Prestige Safety Construction Safety Specialists Handicap Stakes (Div I)
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners · £5,234 · Monday, 27 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stStorm Free (GB)Hector Crouch·James Tate7/2F·4.50SP
- 2ndChalk Mountain (GB)Alfie Redman·Zoe Hawkins·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdSpaceman (IRE)Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 27.48s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Storm Free (GB))
“racing in the pack - driven to make headway over 2f out - ran on and soon driven - went to the front inside the final furlong - kept finding more to the line”
AI top-rated Asteverdi (score 59.9) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Storm Free
This Class 4 contest over 7f on standard ground is headed clearly on our figures by Storm Free, rated 94 and a full seven pounds clear of Chalk Mountain in second on 87. Exotic Baby (85) and Asteverdi (83) are not far behind that pair, so there is real depth chasing the leader. Storm Free is our selection given the scale of that rating advantage, though the picture here is unsettled enough that we hold only low confidence in the result. Chalk Mountain, Exotic Baby and Asteverdi are the chief dangers if he fails to deliver.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Asteverdi
Luke Morris · James Owen · 5yo
Top-rated of 12
score 59.9 · +4.4 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight93very strongJames Owen: 14/38 winners last 14d (37%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong52d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76
- Form20% weight38below averageLast 6: 5-0-3-7-3
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.04
High (9–12)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: James Tate · draw 3 4yo · G · ch | 21606 | 86 | 43.0 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 2 6yo · G · grt | 11867 | 81 | 43.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 231 | 76 | 53.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 23258 | 84 | 55.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9 4yo · G · bpFT P | 3100 | 76 | 39.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 11 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 3yo · F · gr | 461 | 74 | 52.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 12 4yo · G · chp | 71060 | 76 | 37.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 10 5yo · M · bp | 50373 | 76 | 59.9 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 11 7yo · G · b | 56688 | 76 | 48.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Jack Doughty · T: George Boughey · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 50457 | 72 | 50.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 11 | 4 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ian Williams · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 5160 | 78 | 46.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 12 | 9 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Heather Main · draw 5 5yo · G · grt | 85237 | 72 | 38.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Asteverdi) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Storm Free (GB) (4.50), 2. Chalk Mountain (GB) (5.00), 3. Spaceman (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 27.48s.
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