Who won the 14:45 Galway on 30 July 2026?
Pivotal Attack (GB) won the 14:45 Galway at SP 4.00. Ridden by Gary Carroll. Trained by Joseph G Murphy.
14:45 Galway
IrelandArthur Guinness Irish EBF Corrib Fillies Stakes (Listed)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners · €31,500 · Thursday, 30 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stPivotal Attack (GB)Gary Carroll·Joseph G Murphy3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndMeriden (GB)AI top pick · 68.1Chris Hayes·Denis Gerard Hogan·beaten 1.5 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdLa Brodeuse (GB)Ronan Whelan·Kevin Ryan·beaten 3 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 30.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Pivotal Attack (GB))
“Sat behind the front-runner in 2nd - pressed for effort 2f out before hitting the front inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way61.7/100 rating
Celestial Orbit
13.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Celestial Orbit
Celestial Orbit heads this ten-runner Class 1 contest at Galway on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Pivotal Attack and Black Caviar Gold, and her form entitles her to take the prominent position in the argument. The dangers are real, however, with Pivotal Attack and Black Caviar Gold both rated within a few pounds of her and La Brodeuse also capable of running into the money on her best form over this seven-furlong trip on good ground. This is a competitive field and the margin for error is slim, but Celestial Orbit's edge is enough to make her the pick. **Selection: Celestial Orbit.**
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Meriden
Chris Hayes · Denis Gerard Hogan · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 68.1 · +2.4 clear of next best (65.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight96very strongLast 6: 6-1-1-1-1-1
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 103 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight23weakDenis Gerard Hogan: 2/23 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 3.25 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Galway 7f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.54).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.54
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.33
High (8–10)
IV 1.05
Today: Meriden (draw 2) and Greydreambeliever (draw 4) get the bias; Celtic Motif (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 49 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 62384 | 98 | 51.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 611111 | 103 | 68.1 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 43724 | 99 | 51.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 4yo · F · gr | 22629 | 85 | 56.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 1 4yo · F · bp | 83043 | 95 | 51.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 4yo · F · bpFT P | 02176 | 102 | 61.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 8 4yo · F · chp | 05005 | 86 | 46.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | 3yo · F · grtp | 19248 | 103 | 59.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 42105 | 86 | 50.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 4yo · F · bt | 20231 | 92 | 65.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Galway?
No — the AI top pick (Meriden) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:45 Galway?
Top finishers: 1. Pivotal Attack (GB) (4.00), 2. Meriden (GB) (3.00), 3. La Brodeuse (GB) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Galway?
The winning time was 1m 30.27s.
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