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15:10

Nottingham

Great Britain

Download The Oddschecker App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Thursday, 30 July 2026

1m2f·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·5 runners·£5,757
Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 15/8F·2.88
  1. 1st
    Supplicate (GB)AI top pick · 68.8
    Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Crown Office (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten .75 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sassicaia (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows·beaten 4.5 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 11.39s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Supplicate (GB))

Up with the pace early - took over after 4f - two lengths to the good 2f out and pressed on - margin narrowed in the closing stages but held on to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.068.8/100 rating
Supplicate
3.00Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Racing Alpha pick

Supplicate

Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian · 3yo

68.8/100
+14.1 vs next best (54.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    95very strong
    Roger Varian: 8/21 winners last 14d (38%)
  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 5-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    69d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77
MarketBest price 3.00 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
214
3yo · G · b
51046
9-078052.5
2/1·3.00
SP
423
3yo · F · gr
37113
9-078054.7
40/1·41.00
SP
335
3yo · G · b
1435
9-057845.8
9/4·3.25
SP
542
3yo · G · b
6274
9-047747.7
8/1·9.00
SP
151
3yo · F · ch
511
9-047768.8
15/8F·2.88
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:10 Nottingham on 30 July 2026?

Supplicate (GB) won the 15:10 Nottingham at SP 2.88. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Supplicate, won the race (AI score 68.8).

What were the placings in the 15:10 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Supplicate (GB) (2.88), 2. Crown Office (GB) (3.00), 3. Sassicaia (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 15:10 Nottingham?

The winning time was 2m 11.39s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Sassicaia arrives here on a progressive profile that gives connections genuine reason for optimism over this ten-furlong trip at Nottingham, and a fitness edge over some rivals could prove telling on ground that will suit a horse travelling in the right direction. Affection heads the field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of our selection, but Sassicaia's upward trajectory makes that gap less daunting than it might appear on paper, and Crown Office along with Bee Farmer will need to find more than they have shown to threaten. This is an open enough heat and confidence is modest, but the progressive case for Sassicaia is the most compelling angle on the race. **Selection: Sassicaia.**

Racing Post pick: Sassicaia

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org