18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 2h 29m13:30Southwell (AW)

Oddschecker Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,402 · Thursday, 30 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Molly Mac (IRE)
    Grace McEntee·Micky Fenton
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Henriette Ronner (GB)
    Tom Eaves·Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood·beaten 4.25 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Saeculamation (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·George Margarson·beaten 1 length
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.05s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Molly Mac (IRE))

Sat close to front early - hit the front under pressure 2f out - opened up a gap inside final furlong - eased through to the line comfortably

AI top-rated Mereside Spark (score 41.6) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way41.6/100 rating
Mereside Spark
7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mereside Spark

Mereside Spark has been posting improved efforts with each run and the clock supports what the eye has seen, giving grounds to prefer her over the higher-rated pair despite sitting third in the ratings. Molly Mac heads the field on figures and cannot be dismissed, while Henriette Ronner and Saeculamation add further depth to the dangers. Confidence is modest given the step up in class of opposition, but the progressive profile makes Mereside Spark worth siding with. **Mereside Spark** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mereside Spark

Connor Beasley · David & Nicola Barron · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 41.6 · +2.2 clear of next best (39.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    40d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    David & Nicola Barron: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53
  • Form20% weight
    35weak
    Last 6: 2-6-0-4-4
MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.90
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–8)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 4
3yo · F · b
32426
5435.2
1/1F·2.00
SP
21
3yo · F · b
950985
5534.9
10/1·11.00
SP
35
J: Clifford Lee · T: George Margarson · draw 8
3yo · G · b
434668
4630.5
11/1·12.00
SP
47
J: J F Egan · T: Dean Ivory · draw 7
3yo · F · b
96686
4522.8
18/1·19.00
SP
56
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 3
3yo · F · b
57073
4639.4
11/2·6.50
SP
63
3yo · F · ch
26044
5341.6
15/2·8.50
SP
78
J: Cieren Fallon · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5
3yo · F · grbFT B
809
4529.4
12/1·13.00
SP
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 2
3yo · G · b
351206
5239.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 Nottingham on 30 July 2026?

Molly Mac (IRE) won the 16:55 Nottingham at SP 2.00. Ridden by Grace McEntee. Trained by Micky Fenton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Mereside Spark) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:55 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Molly Mac (IRE) (2.00), 2. Henriette Ronner (GB) (11.00), 3. Saeculamation (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 13.05s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org