Who won the 16:30 Newcastle (AW) on 31 July 2026?
Jamaican Storm (GB) won the 16:30 Newcastle (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Bryan Smart.
16:30 Newcastle (AW)
Quinnbet Extra Place Handicap Stakes (Div I)
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £4,711 · Friday, 31 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stJamaican Storm (GB)Oisin Orr·Bryan Smart9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndWish This (GB)Alistair Rawlinson·Alan Brown·beaten .75 lengths15/2·8.50SP
- 3rdReginald Charles (GB)P J McDonald·Geoff Oldroyd·beaten .75 lengths6/4F·2.50SP
Race time
1m 30.13s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Jamaican Storm (GB))
“Settled towards the back - moved through and shifted left approaching the final furlong - hit the front inside the last then drifted right - stayed on to win”
AI top-rated Arc La Shari (score 41.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way37.0/100 rating
Jamaican Storm
6.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Reginald Charles
Reginald Charles lines up narrowly ahead of several rivals on our ratings and, crucially, does so on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come. Judicature shares the top rating and represents the most immediate threat, while Wish This and Andalprofit are capable of making this competitive if conditions suit. That upward trajectory, however, gives Reginald Charles the edge over a field that looks to have a clear drop in class below the leading trio. **Reginald Charles** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Arc La Shari
Jonny Peate · Ivan Furtado · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 41.0 · +0.4 clear of next best (40.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong47d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight43below averageIvan Furtado: 4/23 winners last 14d (17%)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Form20% weight17weakLast 6: 3-6-0
MarketBest price 42.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 9th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Bryan Smart · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 214936 | 61 | 37.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Alan Brown · draw 2 4yo · G · bb | 66859 | 63 | 31.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: P J McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 63526 | 61 | 38.9 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 42877 | 64 | 36.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Mark Winn · T: Paul Midgley · draw 9 4yo · F · chh | 45647 | 63 | 39.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 48797 | 64 | 32.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 360 | 62 | 41.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 646 | 58 | 33.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 910000 | 61 | 32.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 285816 | 60 | 40.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Arc La Shari) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Jamaican Storm (GB) (5.50), 2. Wish This (GB) (8.50), 3. Reginald Charles (GB) (2.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 30.13s.
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