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14:30 Doncaster

Bapp Group Of Companies Bapp Nursery Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,653 · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4F·2.25
  1. 1st
    Weleyff (IRE)AI top pick · 58.3
    Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lincoln Warrior (IRE)
    Barry McHugh·Ivan Furtado·beaten 1.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eighth Immortal (IRE)
    Ryan Sexton·Jack Jones·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
1m 25.39s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Weleyff (IRE))

“Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - set the pace throughout - challenged for a spell 2f out - edged back clear approaching the final furlong - drifted off a true line late - margin narrowed near the line but held on gamely for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eighth Immortal

Eighth Immortal holds a clear edge in this five-runner Class 4 contest at Doncaster, rated ten pounds above the next-best Weleyff and comfortably clear of the remainder, though whether he can fully translate that superiority to the track on this occasion is the question that keeps confidence measured. Weleyff and Lincoln Warrior are the chief dangers, with the former in particular capable of outrunning his lower rating on good-to-firm ground over seven furlongs. Encounter merits a mention despite rating seventeen pounds behind our selection. **Eighth Immortal** is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Weleyff

Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 58.3 · +6.5 clear of next best (51.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Edward Bethell: 2/24 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.10
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–5)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4
2yo · C · b
31
8158.3
5/4F·2.25
SP
24
J: Barry McHugh · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 5
2yo · G · ch
624
7551.9
8/1·9.00
SP
33
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Jack Jones · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
23
7849.2
11/4·3.75
SP
41
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: S Woods · draw 3
2yo · C · b
236
8244.4
3/1·4.00
SP
55
2yo · G · b
480
6649.2
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Doncaster on 1 August 2026?

Weleyff (IRE) won the 14:30 Doncaster at SP 2.25. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Doncaster?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Weleyff, won the race (AI score 58.3).

What were the placings in the 14:30 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Weleyff (IRE) (2.25), 2. Lincoln Warrior (IRE) (9.00), 3. Eighth Immortal (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 25.39s.

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