Who won the 16:15 Doncaster on 1 August 2026?
Suspicious Mindz (GB) won the 16:15 Doncaster at SP 4.50. Ridden by Shay Farmer. Trained by Seb Spencer.
16:15 Doncaster
Winners Wear Skopes Menswear Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,653 · Saturday, 1 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50Race report
- 1stSuspicious Mindz (GB)AI top pick · 57.8Shay Farmer·Seb Spencer7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndShadow Run (IRE)Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 1.5 lengths18/1·19.00SP
- 3rdHaaderr (GB)Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell·beaten 1 length3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 24.78s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Suspicious Mindz (GB))
“Pulled hard early - settled in the pack - traveling well 2f out - pushed along - moved through to hit the front inside the final furlong and stayed on to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: First Time
First Time holds a clear edge at the head of the ratings, standing six pounds above the nearest pursuer Suspicious Mindz on a seven-furlong Doncaster trip that promises to suit on good-to-firm ground. Suspicious Mindz, Goldwork and Haaderr all represent genuine dangers, with Goldwork and Haaderr level on ratings and capable of making this competitive through the final furlong. That said, the gap between First Time and the chasing pack is meaningful enough to suggest the selection can assert when the pressure comes. **First Time** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Suspicious Mindz
Shay Farmer(5) · Seb Spencer · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (57.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 3-2-3-7-1
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Seb Spencer: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.10
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–6)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Seb Spencer · draw 2 3yo · G · ch | 32371 | 84 | 57.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 66240 | 72 | 42.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 3yo · G · brtFT T | 2214 | 85 | 56.6 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 1 3yo · G · br | 231230 | 80 | 57.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 20633 | 82 | 46.4 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 5 3yo · G · btbFT TB | 350373 | 76 | 44.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Doncaster?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Suspicious Mindz, won the race (AI score 57.8).
What were the placings in the 16:15 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Suspicious Mindz (GB) (4.50), 2. Shadow Run (IRE) (19.00), 3. Haaderr (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Doncaster?
The winning time was 1m 24.78s.
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