15:12 Redcar

Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 8 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/1·10.00

1st
Welbury (GB)AI top pick · 62.9
Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell
9/1·10.00
SP
2nd
Barley (IRE)
David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 7 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP
3rd
Nyman (IRE)
Cieren Fallon·Roger Fell·beaten 1.25 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

1m 33.32s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Welbury (GB))

“Sat close to the pace early - pushed into the front spot 2f out - opened up the gap inside the final furlong - scored with ease”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Illy's Roo

Illy's Roo sits four pounds behind Frankies Dream on our ratings, but it is a progressive profile rather than a static number that makes this selection compelling — there is a sense this three-year-old has more to offer over this mile trip on good-to-firm ground at Redcar than the bare figure suggests. Frankies Dream heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Nyman and Paladin — both on 83 alongside our selection — represent genuine threats in what is a competitive Class 4 heat. The confidence here is modest, and the race may well go to one of those rivals, but the upward trajectory of Illy's Roo is the deciding factor. **Selection: Illy's Roo.**

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Welbury

Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 62.9 · +2.3 clear of next best (60.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 1-2-2-4-1
Trainer20% weight
63average
Edward Bethell: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.06

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.98

High (11–14)

IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Welbury J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 3yo · G · grp	12241	9-08	79	—	—	62.9	9/1·10.00 SP
2	12	Barley J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 7yo · G · bp	232333	9-05	69	—	—	47.7	11/2·6.50 SP
3	8	Nyman J: Cieren Fallon · T: Roger Fell · draw 7 4yo · G · b	644064	9-09	73	—	—	46.2	11/1·12.00 SP
4	10	Illy's Roo J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 3 3yo · G · b	877715	9-07	78	—	—	52.4	7/2F·4.50 SP
5	11	Sea The Power J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 2 3yo · C · b	37169	9-06	77	—	—	53.3	40/1·41.00 SP
6	3	Capital Guarantee J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 6yo · G · ch	209061	10-01	79	—	—	48.9	12/1·13.00 SP
7	13	Chesneys Charm J: Darragh Keenan · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 8 4yo · G · b	48760	9-04	68	—	—	37.2	66/1·67.00 SP
8	2	Frankies Dream J: Sean D Bowen · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 12 4yo · G · bh	332378	10-02	80	—	—	60.7	9/2·5.50 SP
9	4	Paladin J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 5 5yo · G · ch	25102	10-01	79	—	—	51.4	5/1·6.00 SP
10	1	Gorgeous Mr George J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 1 4yo · G · ch	888114	10-04	82	—	—	54.5	10/1·11.00 SP
11	14	Vince Le Prince J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 6yo · G · btp	275302	9-02	66	—	—	42.6	40/1·41.00 SP
12	6	Harry The Rogue J: Tom Eaves · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 14 5yo · G · bvFT V	324900	9-12	76	—	—	37.4	33/1·34.00 SP
13	7	Amidst The Chaos J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 13 4yo · G · chp	342125	9-11	75	—	—	57.4	16/1·17.00 SP
14	5	Mr Mistoffelees J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 11 6yo · G · btFT T	87522	9-12	76	—	—	55.4	18/1·19.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:12 Redcar on 8 August 2026?

Welbury (GB) won the 15:12 Redcar at SP 10.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:12 Redcar?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Welbury, won the race (AI score 62.9).

What were the placings in the 15:12 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Welbury (GB) (10.00), 2. Barley (IRE) (6.50), 3. Nyman (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:12 Redcar?

The winning time was 1m 33.32s.

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