Who won the 15:12 Redcar on 8 August 2026?
Welbury (GB) won the 15:12 Redcar at SP 10.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.
← All racecards15:12
Redcar
Great BritainMarske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)
Saturday, 8 August 2026
1m·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·14 runners·£5,234
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/1·10.00Race report
- 1stWelbury (GB)AI top pick · 62.9Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndBarley (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 7 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdNyman (IRE)Cieren Fallon·Roger Fell·beaten 1.25 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 33.32s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Welbury (GB))
“Sat close to the pace early - pushed into the front spot 2f out - opened up the gap inside the final furlong - scored with ease”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.062.9/100 rating
Welbury
10.00Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way62.9/100 rating
Welbury
10.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Welbury
Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 3yo
62.9/100
+2.3 vs next best (60.7)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong32d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 1-2-2-4-1
- Trainer20% weight63averageEdward Bethell: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 79
MarketBest price 10.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 5th pick of 14 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 4yo · G · ch | 888114 | 10-04 | 82 | — | — | 54.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP | |
| 8 | 2 | 12 | 4yo · G · bh | 332378 | 10-02 | 80 | — | — | 60.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 6 | 3 | 10 | 6yo · G · ch | 209061 | 10-01 | 79 | — | — | 48.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 9 | 4 | 5 | 5yo · G · ch | 25102 | 10-01 | 79 | — | — | 51.4 | 5/1·6.00 SP | |
| 14 | 5 | 11 | 6yo · G · btFT T | 87522 | 9-12 | 76 | — | — | 55.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 12 | 6 | 14 | 5yo · G · bvFT V | 324900 | 9-12 | 76 | — | — | 37.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| 13 | 7 | 13 | 4yo · G · chp | 342125 | 9-11 | 75 | — | — | 57.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 4yo · G · b | 644064 | 9-09 | 73 | — | — | 46.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP | |
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3yo · G · grp | 12241 | 9-08 | 79 | — | — | 62.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 3yo · G · b | 877715 | 9-07 | 78 | — | — | 52.4 | 7/2F·4.50 SP | |
| 5 | 11 | 2 | 3yo · C · b | 37169 | 9-06 | 77 | — | — | 53.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| 2 | 12 | 4 | 7yo · G · bp | 232333 | 9-05 | 69 | — | — | 47.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 7 | 13 | 8 | 4yo · G · b | 48760 | 9-04 | 68 | — | — | 37.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP | |
| 11 | 14 | 9 | 6yo · G · btp | 275302 | 9-02 | 66 | — | — | 42.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:12 Redcar?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Welbury, won the race (AI score 62.9).
What were the placings in the 15:12 Redcar?
Top finishers: 1. Welbury (GB) (10.00), 2. Barley (IRE) (6.50), 3. Nyman (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:12 Redcar?
The winning time was 1m 33.32s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyIlly's Roo sits four pounds behind Frankies Dream on our ratings, but it is a progressive profile rather than a static number that makes this selection compelling — there is a sense this three-year-old has more to offer over this mile trip on good-to-firm ground at Redcar than the bare figure suggests. Frankies Dream heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Nyman and Paladin — both on 83 alongside our selection — represent genuine threats in what is a competitive Class 4 heat. The confidence here is modest, and the race may well go to one of those rivals, but the upward trajectory of Illy's Roo is the deciding factor. **Selection: Illy's Roo.**
Racing Post pick: Illy's Roo
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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