15:45 Beverley

Jill Willows Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £6,184 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Homestrait · No. 10 · best 14/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (53.9) in the field, 1.1 clear of the next best. Best price sits ~29% above the market's de-overrounded fair price. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.3/100 rating

Tattie Bogle

8.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Homestrait

Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison · 3yo

53.9/100

+1.1 vs next best (52.8)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
69strong
Last 6: 4-2-2-3-1-4
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 71
Trainer20% weight
33weak
Brian Ellison: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketBest price 16.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 7th pick of 11 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
1Alpha Capture 3Bell Shot 4Highland Olly 5Glenfinnan 9Beyond The Bar
Prominent(2)
10Homestrait 11Intervention
Mid-division(2)
2Obelix 8Flying Fletcher
Hold-up / closers(1)
7Tattie Bogle
Unknown(1)
6Style Of Life

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.08

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.80

High (9–11)

IV 1.09

Today: Tattie Bogle (draw 10) and Bell Shot (draw 9) get the bias; Homestrait (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
10	HomestraitPick J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 · combo 2/58 (3%) 3yo · F · bpDGoing 1/3	422314	9-01	71	—	—	53.9	11/1·12.37	16·16.00 Betfair Exchange · +29% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK12·13.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 William Hill17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00BestOdds8/1·9.007Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 CopyBet8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet8/1·9.00 BetAhoy8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Octobet8/1·9.00BresBet8/1·9.00
1	Alpha Capture J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Roger Fell · draw 3 6yo · G · bbDOnly pairing	621202	10-04	82	—	—	52.8	4/1·5.16	3/1·4.00 Bet365 · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3653/1·4.00 Betfair Exchange4·4.00 William Hill11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75BestOdds11/4·3.757Bet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Octobet11/4·3.75Betano11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 CopyBet11/4·3.75 BetAhoy11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK2.75·3.75 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 PricedUp Bet5/2·3.50
7	Tattie Bogle J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10 · combo 2/12 (17%) 4yo · G · grpC&D	212722	9-10	74	—	—	51.3	17/2·9.62	15/2·8.50 Bet365 · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36515/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK7·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00BresBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00
3	Bell Shot J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Michael Appleby · draw 9 · combo 1/9 (11%) 7yo · G · bpOnly ride	638342	10-03	81	—	—	49.5	9/1·10.31	8·8.00 Betfair Exchange · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8·8.00 William Hill13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 CopyBet13/2·7.50 BetAhoy13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Octobet13/2·7.50BresBet13/2·7.50BestOdds13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK6.5·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Unibet11/2·6.50
9	Beyond The Bar J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 19/178 (11%) 3yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/2	77515	9-05	75	—	—	47.6	16/1·17.87	20·21.00 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK20·21.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 BetAhoy12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Octobet12/1·13.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
4	Highland Olly J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Grant Tuer · draw 11 · combo 1/5 (20%) 5yo · G · bC&DOnly pairing	104217	10-00	78	—	—	46.8	12/1·13.75	15·15.00 Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15·15.00 SmarketsSBK13·14.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 PricedUp Bet9/1·10.00 BetAhoy9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Octobet9/1·10.00BresBet9/1·10.00BestOdds9/1·10.007Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 CopyBet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00
8	Flying Fletcher J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 · combo 1/23 (4%) 5yo · G · grOnly pairing	574376	9-06	70	—	—	44.3	20/1·20.62	20·21.00 SmarketsSBK · +2% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK20·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 CopyBet14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 BetAhoy14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00Octobet14/1·15.00BestOdds14/1·15.007Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00
2	Obelix J: Jason Hart · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 6yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/2Only pairing	01550	10-03	81	—	—	42.5	5/1·6.19	5.5·5.50 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00Midnite4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 CopyBet3.75/1·4.75 Betfred7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Unibet10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33
5	Glenfinnan J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 6yo · G · bhClass dropOn last winning markC&DGoing 1/4Only pairing	719420	10-00	78	—	—	42.1	7/1·8.25	11/2·6.50 William Hill · -21% vs fair All 29 books ▾ William Hill11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Spreadex5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00BresBet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80 PricedUp Bet9/2·5.50
6	Style Of Life J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 2 · combo 1/6 (17%) 6yo · M · btOnly ride	11250	9-11	75	—	—	40.2	22/1·23.37	25·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +11% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK25·26.00 Betfair Exchange23·23.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 CopyBet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BetAhoy16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Octobet16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00
11	Intervention J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8 · combo 0/6 (0%) 9yo · G · bhOnly pairing	008770	9-00	64	—	—	34.9	50/1·46.74	45·46.00 SmarketsSBK · -2% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK45·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange38·38.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00Bet Victor28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 PricedUp Bet28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Jill Willows Handicap Stakes?

The Jill Willows Handicap Stakes is off at 15:45 on 12 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:45 Beverley?

7½f, Class 4, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:45 Beverley?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:45 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Homestrait (score 53.9, best price 16.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:45 Beverley?

The market favourite is Alpha Capture at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Homestrait.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Alpha Capture rates level with Obelix at the head of the field on these figures, yet the nod goes to our selection on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come over this eight-furlong trip at Beverley on good-to-firm ground. Obelix and Bell Shot are the chief dangers, with Glenfinnan worth keeping onside. **Alpha Capture** is the call.

Racing Post pick: Alpha Capture

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org