15:00 Salisbury

Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £7,851 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Dr Strangelove · No. 2 · best 8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (62.3) in the field, 3.6 clear of the next best. Best price sits ~34% above the market's de-overrounded fair price. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way62.3/100 rating

Dr Strangelove

9.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Dr Strangelove

Tom Marquand · Oliver Cole · 4yo

62.3/100

+3.6 vs next best (58.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
40d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
66strong
Last 6: 7-4-3-2-2
Trainer20% weight
60average
Oliver Cole: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86

MarketBest price 9.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 5th pick of 7 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Golden Brown
Prominent(3)
2Dr Strangelove 6An Outlaw's Grace 7Supreme King
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
4Regional Rock
Unknown(2)
1So Darn Hot 3Dandana

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.97

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.88

High (6–7)

IV 1.14

Today: Dandana (draw 6) and Golden Brown (draw 7) get the bias; Regional Rock (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Dr StrangelovePick J: Tom Marquand · T: Oliver Cole · draw 2 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	74322	9-10	86	—	—	62.3	11/2·6.70	9·9.00 Betfair Exchange · +34% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9·9.00 SmarketsSBK7.5·8.50 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetWright9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50 BetAhoy9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00
3	Dandana J: David Probert · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 3yo · F · btFT T	14004	9-09	89	—	—	58.7	11/1·11.57	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50BestOdds17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 talkSPORT BET17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00Octobet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet8/1·9.00 BetAhoy8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00
4	Regional Rock J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 · combo 13/81 (16%) 3yo · G · b	1223	9-05	85	—	—	57.9	4/1·4.87	4.6·4.60 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 SmarketsSBK3.5·4.50 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00talkSPORT BET3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 CopyBet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 BetAhoy3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Octobet3/1·4.00BresBet3/1·4.00BestOdds3/1·4.007Bet3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 PricedUp Bet11/4·3.75
5	Golden Brown J: Rob Hornby · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 3yo · G · bClass drop2lb below win markC&DOnly pairing	02218	9-03	83	—	—	57.9	7/1·7.92	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5·6.00
1	So Darn Hot J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 · combo 19/117 (16%) 4yo · G · b	06705	10-00	90	—	—	52.1	5/1·6.09	5.1·5.10 Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betfred10/3·4.33
7	Supreme King J: Oisin Murphy · T: David Evans · draw 5 · combo 2/5 (40%) 6yo · G · bC&DOnly pairing	512227	9-02	78	—	—	51.5	9/2·5.48	5.3·5.30 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30 SmarketsSBK4·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.50Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BresBet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33
6	An Outlaw's Grace J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 · combo 14/96 (15%) 4yo · G · bp	620354	9-02	78	—	—	51.0	11/1·11.57	10·10.00 Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange10·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50BestOdds17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50Virgin Bet8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 BetAhoy8/1·9.00Octobet8/1·9.00SmarketsSBK8·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes?

The Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes is off at 15:00 on 12 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Salisbury?

6f, Class 3, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Dr Strangelove (score 62.3, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Regional Rock at a best price of 4.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Dr Strangelove.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

So Darn Hot heads this seven-runner field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Dr Strangelove and Golden Brown, who are level with each other and represent the chief dangers alongside Dandana. The six-furlong trip on good-to-firm ground at Salisbury should suit a horse of his profile, and that edge at the top of the ratings gives him a credible claim, though the proximity of the dangers keeps confidence modest. **So Darn Hot** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: So Darn Hot

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org