Who won the 16:38 Epsom on 14 August 2026?
Private Project (IRE) won the 16:38 Epsom at SP 23.00. Ridden by J F Egan. Trained by Pat Phelan.
16:38 Epsom
Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £3,663 · Friday, 14 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stPrivate Project (IRE)J F Egan·Pat Phelan22/1·23.00SP
- 2ndMrembo (GB)Hector Crouch·Jonathan Portman·beaten 1 length3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdOffiah's Boy (GB)AI top pick · 48.9Taylor Fisher·Joe Tickle·beaten 2.25 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
2m 8.36s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Private Project (IRE))
“Settled towards the back of the pack early - moved through from 3f out into contention - up to third with 2f remaining - drifted left after nudging in front a furlong out - kept finding under pressure to the line - held on for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Gretna Dreams
Gretna Dreams heads this Class 6 contest at Epsom on a rating narrowly ahead of Mrembo and Pangbourne, and the ten-furlong trip on good-to-firm ground should present no issues, though the closeness of the ratings among the leading trio means this is far from a straightforward race to call. Mrembo and Pangbourne are capable of closing that slim gap, while Celtic Spirit offers a further threat from three pounds further back in the assessments. With confidence modest given how tightly matched the principals are, Gretna Dreams nonetheless holds a slender edge on the figures and is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Offiah's Boy
Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle · 5yo
Top-rated of 10
score 48.9 · +6.8 clear of next best (42.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong10d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight68strongJoe Tickle: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 0-0-5-6-2-1
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.87
High (9–11)
IV 1.14
Today: Haveagobeau (draw 10) and Pangbourne (draw 9) get the bias; Time To Sparkle (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: J F Egan · T: Pat Phelan · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 63093 | 48 | 29.2 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4 7yo · M · bp | 341454 | 58 | 39.3 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 005621 | 52 | 48.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 10 7yo · G · b | 215521 | 54 | 42.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Roger Teal · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 592255 | 57 | 34.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Stuart Williams · draw 2 4yo · F · ch | 677B3 | 57 | 38.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Karen Jewell · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 50252 | 53 | 38.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 07543 | 46 | 33.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8 3yo · G · bpFT P | 048554 | 45 | 28.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 11 4yo · F · br | 70806 | 46 | 32.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Alice Bond(5) · T: James Keane · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 915323 | 57 | 41.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:38 Epsom?
No — the AI top pick (Offiah's Boy) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:38 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Private Project (IRE) (23.00), 2. Mrembo (GB) (4.00), 3. Offiah's Boy (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:38 Epsom?
The winning time was 2m 8.36s.
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