18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 2h 53m14:30Lingfield (AW)

15:55 Curragh

Ireland

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €12,600 · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Liberation Date (GB)
    Orla Tynan·Jack Foley
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Thyer (GB)
    Leigh Roche·Maurice Andrew Ahern·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Nibras Rainbow (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Paul W Flynn·beaten 1.5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 4.34s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Liberation Date (GB))

Set the pace from the start - four lengths to the good by halfway before the gap shrank turning into the straight - driven out two furlongs from home and found more to prevail in the final furlong

AI top-rated Youcansaythatagain (score 60.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way60.0/100 rating
Youcansaythatagain
7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thyer

Thyer rates narrowly behind Sonoran on these figures but a progressive profile, a fitness edge over the top-rated runner and clock evidence that backs the form all point in the same direction, making the case that the bare ratings understate where this horse currently stands. Sonoran heads the field on paper and cannot be dismissed, while Great Mover and Mighty Danu both sit close enough in the rankings to keep the finish honest on this ten-furlong Curragh trip on good ground. The confidence here is modest and punters should be aware this is a competitive twelve-runner heat, but the weight of form evidence tips the balance. The selection is Thyer.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Youcansaythatagain

Ben Coen · A Oliver · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 60.0 · +7.3 clear of next best (52.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    30d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 7-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    A Oliver: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.13
High (9–12)
IV 0.78

Today: Youcansaythatagain (draw 8) and Storzando (draw 5) get the bias; Guinelot (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Jack Foley · draw 12
3yo · F · b
96836
7841.5
7/1·8.00
SP
22
5yo · G · bv
00653
7641.7
3/1F·4.00
SP
312
J: Chris Hayes · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 7
6yo · G · bb
132139
5637.0
11/1·12.00
SP
46
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 2
3yo · G · b
77719
7849.9
15/2·8.50
SP
51
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 1
4yo · G · baybrownt
03699
8045.3
20/1·21.00
SP
53
J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 8
3yo · C · b
71
8360.0
6/1·7.00
SP
54
4yo · F · b
663260
7549.2
13/2·7.50
SP
810
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 3
4yo · G · chb
11728
6541.1
13/2·7.50
SP
95
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Laura Hourigan · draw 4
7yo · G · b
110880
7338.0
12/1·13.00
SP
1011
J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 10
3yo · F · bh
541
7152.7
9/1·10.00
SP
119
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
637
7741.8
50/1·51.00
SP
128
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 9
3yo · F · bt
1768
7750.8
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:55 Curragh on 16 August 2026?

Liberation Date (GB) won the 15:55 Curragh at SP 8.00. Ridden by Orla Tynan. Trained by Jack Foley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:55 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Youcansaythatagain) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:55 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Liberation Date (GB) (8.00), 2. Thyer (GB) (4.00), 3. Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:55 Curragh?

The winning time was 2m 4.34s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org