Who won the 15:55 Curragh on 16 August 2026?
Liberation Date (GB) won the 15:55 Curragh at SP 8.00. Ridden by Orla Tynan. Trained by Jack Foley.
Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap
1m2f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €12,600 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Race time recorded.
“Set the pace from the start - four lengths to the good by halfway before the gap shrank turning into the straight - driven out two furlongs from home and found more to prevail in the final furlong”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Thyer rates narrowly behind Sonoran on these figures but a progressive profile, a fitness edge over the top-rated runner and clock evidence that backs the form all point in the same direction, making the case that the bare ratings understate where this horse currently stands. Sonoran heads the field on paper and cannot be dismissed, while Great Mover and Mighty Danu both sit close enough in the rankings to keep the finish honest on this ten-furlong Curragh trip on good ground. The confidence here is modest and punters should be aware this is a competitive twelve-runner heat, but the weight of form evidence tips the balance. The selection is Thyer.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Ben Coen · A Oliver · 3yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).
Today: Youcansaythatagain (draw 8) and Storzando (draw 5) get the bias; Guinelot (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Jack Foley · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 96836 | 78 | 41.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Maurice Andrew Ahern · draw 6 5yo · G · bv | 00653 | 76 | 41.7 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 12 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 7 6yo · G · bb | 132139 | 56 | 37.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 77719 | 78 | 49.9 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 1 4yo · G · baybrownt | 03699 | 80 | 45.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | 3yo · C · b | 71 | 83 | 60.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: W McCreery · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 663260 | 75 | 49.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 3 4yo · G · chb | 11728 | 65 | 41.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Laura Hourigan · draw 4 7yo · G · b | 110880 | 73 | 38.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 10 3yo · F · bh | 541 | 71 | 52.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 637 | 77 | 41.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 9 3yo · F · bt | 1768 | 77 | 50.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Liberation Date (GB) won the 15:55 Curragh at SP 8.00. Ridden by Orla Tynan. Trained by Jack Foley.
No — the AI top pick (Youcansaythatagain) finished 5.
Top finishers: 1. Liberation Date (GB) (8.00), 2. Thyer (GB) (4.00), 3. Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (12.00).
The winning time was 2m 4.34s.
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