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Next · 5h 13m19:08Worcester

16:10 York

Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

2m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 16 runners · £51,540 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 69.2 · +1.8 clear of next best · best 40/1·40.00
Best value vs consensus
In The Breeze (also top rated)
40·40.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 32.63)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way67.4/100 rating
Kirchner
5.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: PrydwenDiffers from our pick

Prydwen heads the ratings alongside Duke Of Oxford, the pair narrowly ahead of a deep and competitive field over this searching sixteen-furlong trip at York, and there is precious little to separate the top two on the figures alone, which is why confidence here is modest. Duke Of Oxford represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed in a race of this size and quality, with Kilmeaden and Ride The Thunder also capable of making their presence felt from just off the pace. Nevertheless, Prydwen's rating gives him a share of the best credentials in the field and York's stamina test should suit a thorough stayer of his profile. Prydwen is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

In The Breeze

Colin Keane · Henrietta C Knight · 8yo

Top-rated of 17
score 69.2 · +1.8 clear of next best (67.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Henrietta C Knight: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    73d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 4-7-1-0-1
MarketBest price 40.00 (Matchbook) · 12th in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 2m½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.16
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.57
High (13–17)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Colin Keane · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 7
8yo · G · bDOnly runner
47101
9369.233/1·32.6340·40.00
Matchbook · +23% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Ryan Moore · T: James Owen · draw 5
4yo · G · grpDOnly runner
47521
9767.411/2·6.385.8·5.80
Smarkets · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 · combo 9/32 (28%)
4yo · G · bbFT B
26115
9567.17/1·7.806.4·6.40
Smarkets · -18% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 11 · combo 3/11 (27%)
4yo · G · chpDOnly pairing
80371
9266.718/1·18.4420·20.00
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: George Scott · draw 9 · combo 2/6 (33%)
8yo · G · bOnly pairing
682157
10262.740/1·41.1548·48.00
Betfair Exchange · +17% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
15
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2 · combo 0/5 (0%)
5yo · G · bOnly pairing
04423
8962.328/1·29.7934·34.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 12 · combo 3/12 (25%)
6yo · G · bvOnly pairing
21003
9360.722/1·24.1226·26.00
Betfair Exchange · +8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
16
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 17 · combo 23/97 (24%)
4yo · G · bOnly runner
42363
8960.314/1·14.1912.5·12.50
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 5/31 (16%)
4yo · C · bDOnly ride
121612
9158.612/1·13.1213.5·13.50
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 13 · combo 0/5 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly runner
124862
9057.040/1·41.1548·48.00
Betfair Exchange · +17% vs fair
All 20 books ▾
7
J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 14 · combo 4/22 (18%)
4yo · G · chtpOnly rideOnly runner
11592
9455.620/1·21.2818·18.00
Smarkets · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 42/204 (21%)
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
19962
9655.09/2·5.324.8·4.80
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
17
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 · combo 11/121 (9%)
7yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
43513
8854.622/1·24.1224·24.00
Smarkets
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 15
6yo · G · bOnly runner
20130
9451.650/1·48.2485·85.00
Matchbook · +76% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
13
J: Clifford Lee · T: Faye Bramley · draw 6
4yo · G · bvFT VOnly runner
27359
9051.333/1·36.8938·38.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 16 · combo 2/20 (10%)
6yo · G · bt
15760
10250.3100/1·114.92190·190.00
Matchbook · +65% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 1 · combo 1/21 (5%)
6yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
07100
9144.733/1·36.8955·55.00
Smarkets · +49% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–30 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)?

The Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:10 on 19 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:10 York?

2m½f, Class 2, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:10 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:10 York?

The AI top-rated runner is In The Breeze (score 69.2, best price 40.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:10 York?

The market favourite is Small Fry at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — In The Breeze.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org