18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 3h 4m14:30Gowran Park

16:10 York

Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

2m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 16 runners · £51,540 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 13th
  1. 1st
    Small Fry (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mountain Road (FR)
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 1 length
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ride The Thunder (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 3.5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
3m 35.52s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Small Fry (IRE))

“Settled behind the front group - moving through strongly before 2f out - pressed on and sent forward to command inside the final furlong - edged off a straight line approaching the last furlong - held on gamely to prevail”

AI top-rated In The Breeze (score 69.2) finished 13th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Prydwen

Prydwen heads the ratings alongside Duke Of Oxford, the pair narrowly ahead of a deep and competitive field over this searching sixteen-furlong trip at York, and there is precious little to separate the top two on the figures alone, which is why confidence here is modest. Duke Of Oxford represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed in a race of this size and quality, with Kilmeaden and Ride The Thunder also capable of making their presence felt from just off the pace. Nevertheless, Prydwen's rating gives him a share of the best credentials in the field and York's stamina test should suit a thorough stayer of his profile. Prydwen is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

In The Breeze

Colin Keane · Henrietta C Knight · 8yo

Top-rated of 16
score 69.2 · +1.8 clear of next best (67.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Henrietta C Knight: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    73d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 4-7-1-0-1
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 2m½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.16
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.57
High (13–17)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
5yo · G · b
19962
9655.0
2/1F·3.00
SP
217
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8
7yo · G · b
43513
8854.6
20/1·21.00
SP
316
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 17
4yo · G · b
42363
8960.3
11/1·12.00
SP
411
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 1
6yo · G · bt
07100
9144.7
40/1·41.00
SP
58
J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 12
6yo · G · bv
21003
9360.7
25/1·26.00
SP
63
J: Ryan Moore · T: James Owen · draw 5
4yo · G · grp
47521
9767.4
4/1·5.00
SP
75
4yo · G · bbFT B
26115
9567.1
6/1·7.00
SP
810
4yo · G · chp
80371
9266.7
11/2·6.50
SP
92
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: George Scott · draw 9
8yo · G · b
682157
10262.7
40/1·41.00
SP
1012
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
4yo · C · b
121612
9158.6
10/1·11.00
SP
117
J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 14
4yo · G · chtp
11592
9455.6
16/1·17.00
SP
1213
J: Clifford Lee · T: Faye Bramley · draw 6
4yo · G · bvFT V
27359
9051.3
20/1·21.00
SP
139
J: Colin Keane · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 7
8yo · G · b
47101
9369.2
28/1·29.00
SP
1415
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2
5yo · G · b
04423
8962.3
28/1·29.00
SP
151
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 16
6yo · G · bt
15760
10250.3
100/1·101.00
SP
166
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 15
6yo · G · b
20130
9451.6
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 13
4yo · F · b
124862
9057.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 York on 19 August 2026?

Small Fry (IRE) won the 16:10 York at SP 3.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 York?

No — the AI top pick (In The Breeze) finished 13.

What were the placings in the 16:10 York?

Top finishers: 1. Small Fry (IRE) (3.00), 2. Mountain Road (FR) (21.00), 3. Ride The Thunder (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 York?

The winning time was 3m 35.52s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org