16:35 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes

1m6f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €42,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Queenstown

No. 6 · score 64.3 · +1.6 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.00

Best value vs consensus

Asakir

11·11.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 9.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 25 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.3/100 rating

Queenstown

5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: LayfayetteDiffers from our pick

Layfayette arrives here in excellent heart, and while Carmers holds a narrow pound advantage on ratings, the progressive profile and fitness edge that Layfayette brings to this fourteen-furlong test at the Curragh make a compelling case for reversal of that slim deficit. Carmers must be respected as the chief danger, with Queenstown and Leinster both rated a useful seven pounds off the top and capable of making the frame if either of the principals disappoint. On balance, a horse moving in the right direction and arriving here sharper than the top-rated rival is the preferred option, and Layfayette is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Queenstown

Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 6yo

Top-rated of 7

score 64.3 · +1.6 clear of next best (62.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 110 — above field median
Form20% weight
61average
Last 6: 3-6-3-3-2
Trainer20% weight
55average
A P O'Brien: 10/46 winners last 14d (22%)
Freshness10% weight
45below average
300d since last run (long absence)

MarketBest price 5.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
2Dallas Star
Prominent(2)
1Carmers 4Layfayette
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(4)
3Kizlyar 5Leinster 6Queenstown 7Asakir

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.14

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.02

High (6–7)

IV 0.83

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 25 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	QueenstownPick J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 13/93 (14%) 6yo · G · bb	36332	9-09	110	—	—	64.3	4/1·5.09	5·5.00 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5·5.00Matchbook4.8·4.80BetMGM7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Smarkets3.85·3.85SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
3	Kizlyar J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 43/213 (20%) 4yo · G · bt	21011	9-09	99	—	—	62.7	5/1·5.87	5.5·5.50 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Matchbook5.5·5.50Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Smarkets3.95·3.95SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
4	Layfayette J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 5 · combo 2/28 (7%) 9yo · G · brpOnly pairing	16215	9-09	106	—	—	60.7	8/1·8.81	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · +11% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Bet36513/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Smarkets5.9·5.90SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5·5.00
5	Leinster J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 6/72 (8%) 5yo · G · btFT T	19445	9-09	105	—	—	56.7	11/1·11.75	11·11.00 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00William Hill9/1·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets8.2·8.20SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00
2	Dallas Star J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 5yo · G · bOnly pairing	325475	9-09	99	—	—	55.6	28/1·30.55	50·50.00 Matchbook · +64% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Midnite22/1·23.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50
7	Asakir J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 7 · combo 14/114 (12%) 3yo · G · bp	3127	9-00	100	—	—	54.4	17/2·9.40	11·11.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Bet36515/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00
1	Carmers J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 3 · combo 10/70 (14%) 4yo · C · btvFT TVOn last winning mark	25516	9-09	112	—	—	53.5	5/2·3.38	15/8·2.88 Betfred · -15% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfred15/8·2.88 Star Sports15/8·2.88 Bet36515/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 BetWright15/8·2.88 Boyle Sports15/8·2.88 BresBet15/8·2.88 Coral15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88 Quinn Bet15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88 Unibet15/8·2.88 William Hill15/8·2.88Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88Paddy Power15/8·2.88Matchbook2.8·2.80BetMGM7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Smarkets2.62·2.62SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62 Betfair Exchange2.54·2.54

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes?

The Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes is off at 16:35 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:35 Curragh?

1m6f, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:35 Curragh?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:35 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Queenstown (score 64.3, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:35 Curragh?

The market favourite is Carmers at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Queenstown.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org