Who won the 19:21 Kempton (AW) on 26 August 2026?
Afraj (IRE) won the 19:21 Kempton (AW) at SP 12.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.
19:21 Kempton (AW)
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7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stAfraj (IRE)William Buick·John & Thady Gosden11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndMerry (GB)Daniel Muscutt·James Horton·beaten 0.3 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdGhisa (IRE)Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 0.3 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 25.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Afraj (IRE))
“Held up towards the back - moved left and made progress 2f out before being driven on and finishing hard from over 1f out - hit the front deep inside the final furlong to score”
AI top-rated Shushu (score 64.8) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way57.5/100 rating
Merry
4.50Hollywood Bets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Paris Babe
Paris Babe heads this ten-runner field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Bridget's View and a few pounds clear of Ghisa and Musical Angel, though the confidence behind this selection is modest and any of those three dangers could make the shortlist competitive. Bridget's View and Ghisa in particular look capable of pressing the selection throughout the seven furlongs on this Kempton all-weather surface, and Musical Angel should not be underestimated either. On balance, Paris Babe holds the edge on current form figures and gets the vote, though punters should be aware this is a tight heat with genuine dangers lurking. The selection is Paris Babe.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Shushu
Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 64.8 · +6.3 clear of next best (58.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongRoger Varian: 7/17 winners last 14d (41%)
- Freshness10% weight65strong63d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 2-1-5
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80
Today: Shushu (draw 7) and Afraj (draw 5) get the bias; Star Mirage (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 1334 | 76 | 58.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 34521 | 72 | 57.5 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 2 3yo · F · bh | 78733 | 75 | 50.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: David Simcock · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 65250 | 68 | 38.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Stuart Williams · draw 3 4yo · F · chhtpFT HTP | 587765 | 79 | 46.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 1 4yo · F · bpFT P | 77293 | 72 | 46.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 2320 | 81 | 52.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 8 4yo · F · bp | 456805 | 85 | 44.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 215 | 78 | 64.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Harry Davies · T: Simon Dow · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 15863 | 79 | 47.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:21 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Shushu) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 19:21 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Afraj (IRE) (12.00), 2. Merry (GB) (2.75), 3. Ghisa (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:21 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 25.11s.
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