16:55 Goodwood

Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 10 runners · £8,066 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

A Major Payne

No. 1 · score 60.2 · +6.0 clear of next best · best 15/2·8.60

Best value vs consensus

A Major Payne (also top rated)

8.6·8.60 Matchbook · +15% vs fair (consensus 7.48)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way60.2/100 rating

A Major Payne

8.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: ObitoDiffers from our pick

Obito arrives here on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, and on a soft surface over ten furlongs at Goodwood the conditions look tailor-made for a horse still finding his feet at this level. First Ambition heads the field on ratings, with Brigid's Well and Alcaraz just a pound behind, and all three must be respected as the chief dangers, particularly First Ambition who holds a narrow edge at the head of the figures. That said, a horse still improving can outrun a static rating, and Obito's upward trajectory gives enough reason to side with him over rivals who may already be near their ceiling. Obito is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

A Major Payne

Oisin Murphy · Michael Bell · 5yo

Top-rated of 11

score 60.2 · +6.0 clear of next best (54.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 2-2-1-3-1-3
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Michael Bell: 2/17 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 8.60 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
7Alcaraz 8Due To Henry
Prominent(1)
6Bearish
Mid-division(2)
3Thinthread First Ambition
Hold-up / closers(4)
1A Major Payne 4Obito 9Brigid's Well 11Lavender Gold
Unknown(2)
2War Hawk 10Si Grass

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.82

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.19

High (9–11)

IV 1.02

Today: Obito (draw 6) and Thinthread (draw 8) get the bias; War Hawk (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	A Major PaynePick J: Oisin Murphy · T: Michael Bell · draw 10 · combo 3/10 (30%) 5yo · G · bpClass dropD	221313	10-03	86	—	—	60.2	13/2·7.48	8.6·8.60 Matchbook · +15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Smarkets8.2·8.20SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betano9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00
6	Bearish J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 9 · combo 0/5 (0%) 3yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner	41210	9-11	87	—	—	54.2	7/1·8.10	6/1·7.00 Unibet · -14% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Unibet6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.6010 Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BresBet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet9/2·5.50LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50
4	Obito J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 · combo 16/150 (11%) 4yo · G · bhD	82551	10-02	85	—	—	54.0	17/2·9.35	8.8·8.80 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60Unibet15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Betfred7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50BresBet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Midnite13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00
3	Thinthread J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 8 · combo 4/25 (16%) 4yo · G · bpClass dropOnly ride	31350	10-02	85	—	—	51.3	3/1·4.05	10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet · +7% vs fair All 30 books ▾ LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Matchbook3.55·3.55Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55Smarkets3.5·3.50SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 William Hill9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Unibet85/40·3.13 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 BresBet2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 7Bet2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00Bet3652/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Betfred15/8·2.88
10	Si Grass J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 · combo 2/22 (9%) 3yo · F · chClass dropOnly ride	21285	9-03	79	—	—	51.2	18/1·18.69	17.5·17.50 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50Matchbook17.5·17.50Unibet16/1·17.00Smarkets16·16.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Bet36514/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00
2	War Hawk J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1 · combo 3/12 (25%) 4yo · G · btClass dropOnly pairing	43655	10-02	85	—	—	50.4	18/1·18.69	16/1·17.00 Unibet · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Unibet16/1·17.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets14·14.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 BresBet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Betfred12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00
7	Alcaraz J: David Egan · T: George Baker · draw 11 7yo · G · bay f.Class dropOnly pairing	22850	9-11	80	—	—	47.3	50/1·51.09	46·46.00 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Betfair Exchange42·42.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Coral40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfred33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00
8	Due To Henry J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 · combo 15/129 (12%) 5yo · G · bpClass drop	00253	9-08	77	—	—	46.4	14/1·14.95	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets16·16.00Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50
9	Brigid's Well J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 · combo 4/45 (9%) 3yo · F · btpFT TPClass dropOnly pairing	45067	9-06	82	—	—	44.8	12/1·13.71	15.5·15.50 Matchbook · +13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Midnite10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00
11	Lavender Gold J: Jason Watson · T: David Menuisier · draw 7 3yo · G · bC&DOnly pairing	23710	8-13	75	—	—	42.1	11/1·12.46	12·12.00 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Matchbook12·12.00Bet36510/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00BetMGM9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Coral9/1·10.00 7Bet17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00
—	First Ambition J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Keady · draw 2 5yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	67066	10-00	83	—	—	39.2	22/1·23.68	22/1·23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00SportingIndex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Coral18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–30 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes?

The Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes is off at 16:55 on 30 August 2026 at Goodwood (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:55 Goodwood?

1m2f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:55 Goodwood?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:55 Goodwood?

The AI top-rated runner is A Major Payne (score 60.2, best price 8.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:55 Goodwood?

The market favourite is Thinthread at a best price of 4.33. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — A Major Payne.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org