Who won the 16:45 Ripon on 31 August 2026?
Rogers Dream (GB) won the 16:45 Ripon at SP 3.75. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Gihan Arnolda.
16:45 Ripon
Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div I)
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stRogers Dream (GB)Oisin Murphy·Gihan Arnolda11/4J·3.75SP
- 2ndLittle Ted (GB)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 7.5 lengths11/4J·3.75SP
- 3rdVolenti (IRE)AI top pick · 45.1Oisin Orr·Sam England·beaten 1.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
2m 8.57s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Rogers Dream (GB))
“Set pace from the outset - opened a big advantage inside the last 3f - urged forward approaching the final 2f - stayed on strongly to the line unopposed”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Little Ted
Little Ted heads this ten-runner Class 6 contest at Ripon over ten furlongs on good ground, rated narrowly ahead of Trucial Pearl and a few pounds clear of Copper And Five and Volenti, who represent the chief dangers in what is a competitive enough field at this level. The step up to a mile and a quarter on a sound surface gives some cause for optimism, though confidence in the selection is tempered by the closeness of the ratings and the threats posed by those three rivals. Little Ted is the call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Volenti
Oisin Orr · Sam England · 7yo
Top-rated of 10
score 45.1 · +4.7 clear of next best (40.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight53averageSam England: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
- Form20% weight51averageLast 6: 7-4-4-3-4-3
- Ratings50% weight32weakOR 48
MarketBest price 26.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ripon 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.93
High (8–10)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 75 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 2 5yo · M · b | 8443 | 46 | 33.3 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 9yo · G · chhFT H | 272264 | 50 | 40.4 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Sam England · draw 1 7yo · G · b | 744343 | 48 | 45.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 10 10yo · G · chp | 224682 | 49 | 35.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 9 3yo · F · bv | 653144 | 49 | 39.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Cam Hardie · T: David Thompson · draw 4 6yo · M · b | 465854 | 44 | 36.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 7 3yo · F · bp | 23705 | 46 | 31.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Roger Fell · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 094 | 39 | 33.4 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 5 3yo · F · bb | 00709 | 43 | 21.8 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Sara Ender · draw 3 5yo · G · chp | 95344 | 49 | 33.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Ripon?
No — the AI top pick (Volenti) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Ripon?
Top finishers: 1. Rogers Dream (GB) (3.75), 2. Little Ted (GB) (3.75), 3. Volenti (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Ripon?
The winning time was 2m 8.57s.
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