Who won the 14:07 Southwell (AW) on 31 August 2026?
Edwardtheninth (GB) won the 14:07 Southwell (AW) at SP 11.00. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by A Forbes.
14:07 Southwell (AW)
Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap Stakes
1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners · £3,768 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stEdwardtheninth (GB)Gina Mangan·A Forbes10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndBlue Tulip (IRE)Billy Loughnane·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 5.5 lengths6/4F·2.50SP
- 3rdLe Rouge Chinois (DEN)Silvestre De Sousa·Michael Appleby·beaten 2.25 lengths9/4·3.25SP
Race time
3m 4.77s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Edwardtheninth (GB))
“Settled at the back early - moved into fourth position 3f out - urged forward with 2f remaining - hit front inside final furlong then opened a decisive advantage - allowed to coast home unchallenged”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way44.8/100 rating
Edwardtheninth
14.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Le Rouge Chinois
Le Rouge Chinois holds a narrow edge on ratings over Tropical Talent and shapes as the most credible contender in a modest Class 6 contest over fourteen furlongs on the Southwell all-weather, though the overall level of form here is unspectacular and the advantage over the chasing pack is slender enough to warrant caution. Tropical Talent is the most obvious threat given a rating only two pounds adrift, while Sound Gloria and Edwardtheninth are not without claims at bigger deficits and could outrun their standing if conditions suit. Le Rouge Chinois is taken to do just enough to justify favouring here.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sound Gloria
Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 57.4 · +11.3 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongRoger Varian: 5/17 winners last 14d (29%)
- Form20% weight68strongLast 6: 7-7-3-1-2
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 58 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.63 (Betfair Sportsbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m6f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.84
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.16
High (6–7)
IV 1.03
Today: Blue Tulip (draw 5) and Lednikov (draw 4) get the bias; Le Rouge Chinois (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 117 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Gina Mangan · T: A Forbes · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 394513 | 51 | 44.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 5 3yo · F · bpFT P | 856613 | 58 | 46.0 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 818022 | 56 | 42.1 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Harry Russell · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 2 7yo · G · btFirst after wind op | 34608 | 55 | 24.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4 8yo · G · bb | 555743 | 50 | 34.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 706 | 55 | 30.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 77312 | 58 | 57.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:07 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Sound Gloria) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 14:07 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Edwardtheninth (GB) (11.00), 2. Blue Tulip (IRE) (2.50), 3. Le Rouge Chinois (DEN) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 14:07 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 3m 4.77s.
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