16:05 Cork

Off in 1h 30mIreland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding · 8 runners · €30,000 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Likedbymike

No. 5 · score 61.4 · +6.9 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.75

Best value vs consensus

Focaccia

42·42.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair (consensus 38.73)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way54.5/100 rating

Rosie Frith

11.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: BrusselsDiffers from our pick

Brussels holds a clear edge at the head of the ratings, sitting six pounds above Kendall Roy and seven clear of Erosandpsyche, and the good ground over five furlongs at Cork looks a straightforward fit for a horse of this profile. Kendall Roy and Erosandpsyche are the most credible dangers and will press hard throughout, while Gazelle d'Or cannot be entirely dismissed if conditions play to her strengths. Brussels is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Likedbymike

Colin Keane · M J Byrne · 4yo

Top-rated of 10

score 61.4 · +6.9 clear of next best (54.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
63average
OR 94
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: 4-2-9-3-0-1
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
M J Byrne — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 3.75 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
Brussels Rosie Frith
Prominent(4)
2Erosandpsyche 6Sarahmae 8Focaccia 10Xerling
Mid-division(1)
4Gazelle d'Or
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Likedbymike
Unknown(2)
1Kendall Roy 7Cardiff By The Sea

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.13

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.95

High (8–10)

IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 86 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	LikedbymikePick J: Colin Keane · T: M J Byrne · draw 7 4yo · F · bOn last winning markOnly pairing	429301	9-02	94	—	—	61.4	4/1·5.21	11/4·3.75 Bet365 · -28% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36511/4·3.75Smarkets3.7·3.70Matchbook3.65·3.65Betfair Exchange3.6·3.60 Coral5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50BetTom5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Betfred5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BresBet12/5·3.40 BetWright12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40Virgin Bet9/4·3.25LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25
—	Rosie Frith J: Shane Foley · T: Patrick Magee · draw 9 3yo · F · bDOnly pairing	801441	9-00	96	—	—	54.5	14/1·14.90	10/1·11.00 Paddy Power · -26% vs fair All 19 books ▾ Paddy Power10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 BetWright9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Bet3658/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00Matchbook4.5·4.50
6	Sarahmae J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2 · combo 5/46 (11%) 4yo · F · bC&D	112656	9-02	93	—	—	53.9	11/1·11.92	9.2·9.20 Matchbook · -23% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook9.2·9.20Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Bet36515/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Midnite7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Virgin Bet13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50
2	Erosandpsyche J: Gary Carroll · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 6 · combo 0/6 (0%) 8yo · G · btpOnly runner	338258	9-07	94	—	—	53.8	13/2·7.45	5.9·5.90 Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90Matchbook5.9·5.90Smarkets5.8·5.80SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00BetWright4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 BetMGM7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50
—	Brussels J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 15/100 (15%) 3yo · C · btp	64050	9-05	101	—	—	51.7	11/2·6.70	5.4·5.40 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 22 books ▾ Matchbook5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Unibet10/3·4.33
1	Kendall Roy J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 3 · combo 3/12 (25%) 5yo · G · btC&DOnly runner	001936	9-10	102	—	—	51.1	11/2·6.70	5.1·5.10 Matchbook · -24% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.1·5.10Smarkets5·5.00Betfair Exchange5·5.00 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33BresBet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33BetWright10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00
7	Cardiff By The Sea J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 1 · combo 3/28 (11%) 3yo · F · btFT T	71075	9-00	86	—	—	49.8	50/1·50.65	40/1·41.00 Virgin Bet · -19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Virgin Bet40/1·41.00LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Paddy Power35/1·36.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Matchbook34·34.00BetTom33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00Smarkets30·30.00SportingIndex28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00
10	Xerling J: Ben Coen · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 5 3yo · F · bC&D	02120	9-00	90	—	—	48.7	14/1·14.90	13·13.00 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50Smarkets12·12.00Bet Victor10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Bet3658/1·9.00
4	Gazelle d'Or J: W J Lee · T: M C Grassick · draw 8 · combo 2/13 (15%) 4yo · F · bpOnly runner	07022	9-02	97	—	—	48.6	8/1·8.94	7.2·7.20 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook7.2·7.20Smarkets6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Virgin Bet11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Spreadex5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Bet3659/2·5.50
8	Focaccia J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 10 · combo 1/6 (17%) 3yo · F · bD	178286	9-00	83	—	—	47.8	40/1·38.73	42·42.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook42·42.00Smarkets40·40.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00SportingIndex25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–29 bookmakers per horse with the 49% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed)?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) is off at 16:05 on 30 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:05 Cork?

5f, Class 1, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:05 Cork?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:05 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Likedbymike (score 61.4, best price 3.75). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:05 Cork?

The market favourite is Likedbymike at a best price of 3.75.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org