Who won the 16:50 Roscommon on 31 August 2026?
South Dakota (IRE) won the 16:50 Roscommon at SP 4.00. Ridden by Wayne Lordan. Trained by A P O'Brien.
16:50 Roscommon
IrelandIrish EBF Median Sires Series Race
7½f · Flat · Yielding · 9 runners · €15,000 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00Race report
- 1stSouth Dakota (IRE)AI top pick · 59.8Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndJoga Bonito (GB)W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten 0.1 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdWunderschon (GER)Keithen Kennedy·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 3.25 lengths40/1·41.00SP
Race time
1m 30.29s
Race time recorded.
In-running (South Dakota (IRE))
“Handy in behind early - third at halfway - driven into second spot with two furlongs left - hit front a furlong out under urging - challenged hard in closing yards to hold on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.7/100 rating
Full Volume
9.00Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ruler's Control
Ruler's Control heads this nine-runner Roscommon mile on good ground with a two-pound edge over Lars Soldier and rates narrowly ahead of Joga Bonito as well, giving him a clear case on form over the principals. Lars Soldier and Joga Bonito will press him hardest, and South Dakota, though some way below those two on the figures, could outrun expectations if the pace suits. On balance, however, Ruler's Control looks the one to be on, and the selection is Ruler's Control.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
South Dakota
Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 59.8 · +0.1 clear of next best (59.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 4-4-3-3
- Trainer20% weight35below averageA P O'Brien: 6/43 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 4.40 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.26
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–9)
IV 0.64
Today: Full Volume (draw 1) and Joga Bonito (draw 2) get the bias; Ruler's Control (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 4433 | 95 | 59.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | 2yo · G · gp | 4231 | 90 | 54.1 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 7 | — | 14.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · C · bt | 145 | 100 | 59.7 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 153425 | 84 | 54.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 6126 | 96 | 55.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 6 | — | 20.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 00 | — | 14.5 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 50 | — | 17.0 | 500/1·501.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Roscommon?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, South Dakota, won the race (AI score 59.8).
What were the placings in the 16:50 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. South Dakota (IRE) (4.00), 2. Joga Bonito (GB) (2.75), 3. Wunderschon (GER) (41.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:50 Roscommon?
The winning time was 1m 30.29s.
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