Who won the 17:55 Roscommon on 31 August 2026?
Goal Exceeded (GB) won the 17:55 Roscommon at SP 4.50. Ridden by Adam Caffrey. Trained by Adrian McGuinness.
17:55 Roscommon
IrelandLidan Handicap
7½f · Flat · Yielding · 12 runners · €12,000 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stGoal Exceeded (GB)Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness7/2F·4.50SP
- 2ndMorehampton (IRE)Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten .5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdMercurial (IRE)AI top pick · 58.2Seamie Heffernan·John J Nallen·beaten 0.3 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 30.77s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Goal Exceeded (GB))
“Settled just behind the front pair - midfield turning in - asked for effort with 2f left - up into third a furlong out - swept past to lead late and score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.9/100 rating
Ninth Crusade
9.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Plume Noire
Plume Noire arrives here on a progressive profile that the clock backs up, making a compelling case despite sitting three pounds behind Gavoo on paper, and the form she has posted suggests that gap may not tell the full story on good ground over this eight-furlong trip at Roscommon. Gavoo leads the field on ratings and must be respected as the chief danger, with Punica Granatum sharing second rank and Earls also capable of making a bold showing. The confidence here is modest and the race is competitive enough that a clean run and forward step would be required, but the progressive nature of Plume Noire's profile gives reason to side with her. The selection is Plume Noire.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mercurial
Seamie Heffernan · John J Nallen · 7yo
Top-rated of 13
score 58.2 · +3.1 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=5)John J Nallen: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70
- Form20% weight39below averageLast 6: 2-9-4-2-8
MarketBest price 15.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.26
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.09
High (10–13)
IV 0.64
Today: Mercurial (draw 5) and Goal Exceeded (draw 3) get the bias; Eddie G (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 5yo · G · bt | 203144 | 76 | 51.3 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6 3yo · G · bp | 405093 | 79 | 41.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 12 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: John J Nallen · draw 5 7yo · G · bp | 29428 | 70 | 58.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 10 4yo · G · bt | 38720 | 77 | 38.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: W J Lee · T: Thomas Coyle · draw 2 7yo · G · btp | 06731 | 71 | 41.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 3yo · F · bpFT P | 020U3 | 78 | 45.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 9 3yo · G · bbFT B | 492537 | 80 | 45.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 13 5yo · G · bt | 93911 | 83 | 55.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 504030 | 72 | 49.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 7 3yo · G · bt | 06263 | 74 | 51.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 11 | 4 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 11 9yo · G · btb | 022237 | 77 | 50.6 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| PU | 3 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 12 8yo · M · b | 0050 | 79 | 39.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Chris Hayes · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 8 6yo · G · chtp | 10000 | 82 | 35.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:55 Roscommon?
No — the AI top pick (Mercurial) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:55 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. Goal Exceeded (GB) (4.50), 2. Morehampton (IRE) (12.00), 3. Mercurial (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:55 Roscommon?
The winning time was 1m 30.77s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org