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RacingAlpha

16:00 Gowran Park

Ireland

Membership At Gowran Park Fillies Claiming Race

1m · Flat · Yielding · 8 runners · €6,000 · Tuesday, 1 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Quinta Girl (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·M D O'Callaghan
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tax Me Later (IRE)
    Nathan Crosse·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten .5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Star Of Beauty (IRE)
    W J Lee·K J Condon·beaten 5 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 41.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Quinta Girl (IRE))

Settled midfield early - 5th at halfway - urged forward approaching 2f out - found extra close home to hit the front inside the final furlong

AI top-rated Profit Surge (score 54.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way54.0/100 rating
Profit Surge
4.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Vlhova

Vlhova heads this nine-runner contest at Gowran Park on soft ground over a mile, sitting narrowly ahead of Quinta Girl on our assessments, with Una Matata and Tax Me Later also in the mix as the principal dangers at similar levels to one another. The selection's edge may not be enormous, but she looks the most consistently credentialled runner in the field and the soft conditions should pose no problem over this trip. Quinta Girl and the closely matched Una Matata and Tax Me Later will press her, though Vlhova is taken to have enough in hand to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Profit Surge

Colin Keane · Ian Patrick Donoghue · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 54.0 · +6.3 clear of next best (47.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    76strong
    Last 6: 3-2-2-3-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
  • Trainer20% weight
    33small sample (n=8)
    Ian Patrick Donoghue: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.60 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.82
High (7–9)
IV 0.75

Today: Profit Surge (draw 1) and Vlhova (draw 3) get the bias; Minaun View (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
3yo · F · b
64034
7247.2
13/2·7.50
SP
22
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 4
3yo · F · b
3
22.0
9/2·5.50
SP
33
J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 7
3yo · F · chv
022366
7439.8
13/2·7.50
SP
47
5yo · M · btb
322331
6754.0
3/1·4.00
SP
59
4yo · F · chtp
112715
6647.6
6/4F·2.50
SP
66
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 9
5yo · M · b
716350
6842.0
12/1·13.00
SP
74
3yo · F · b
0000
14.5
80/1·81.00
SP
88
J: Rory Cleary · T: D Buckley · draw 2
8yo · M · b
0066
22.8
250/1·251.00
SP
4yo · F · btFT T
42200
7238.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Gowran Park on 1 September 2026?

Quinta Girl (IRE) won the 16:00 Gowran Park at SP 7.50. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Gowran Park?

No — the AI top pick (Profit Surge) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Gowran Park?

Top finishers: 1. Quinta Girl (IRE) (7.50), 2. Tax Me Later (IRE) (5.50), 3. Star Of Beauty (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Gowran Park?

The winning time was 1m 41.81s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org