Who won the 15:30 Bath on 2 September 2026?
Recon Mission (IRE) won the 15:30 Bath at SP 10.00. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Tony Carroll.
15:30 Bath
Trusted Betting Site Reviews gambling.com Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stRecon Mission (IRE)Luke Morris·Tony Carroll9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndFancy Dancer (GB)Saffie Osborne·Hayley Burton·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdSymbol of Hope (GB)AI top pick · 43.7Callum Hutchinson·Grace Harris·beaten 1.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 1.86s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Recon Mission (IRE))
“Sent to the front - lost that spot before the first furlong was done - sat second through the middle stages - drifted right approaching the final furlong - regained command inside the last 110 yards and stayed on to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way43.7/100 rating
Symbol Of Hope
11.50Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Recon Mission
Recon Mission gives best only to the top-rated Mart in the ratings and brings a progressive profile to this five-furlong Class 6 contest at Bath, suggesting there may be more improvement to come on the good ground. Mart heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Call Time and Fancy Dancer also pose a threat at the weights. Recon Mission's fitness advantage over some of these rivals could prove the decisive factor in what looks a competitive sprint. The selection is Recon Mission.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Symbol Of Hope
Callum Hutchinson · Grace Harris · 8yo
Top-rated of 10
score 43.7 · +3.5 clear of next best (40.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight48below averageGrace Harris: 4/21 winners last 14d (19%)
- Form20% weight45below averageLast 6: 3-8-4-3-2-7
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 46
MarketBest price 11.50 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 5f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.12
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 0.81
Today: Jackie Brown (draw 1) and Call Time (draw 2) get the bias; Symbol Of Hope (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7 10yo · G · b | 66533 | 54 | 40.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Hayley Burton · draw 4 4yo · F · grp | 785202 | 49 | 32.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Grace Harris · draw 10 8yo · G · bp | 384327 | 46 | 43.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: William Carson · T: Anthony Carson · draw 6 10yo · G · b | 396416 | 50 | 32.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 2 5yo · G · brp | 50763 | 51 | 33.6 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 672747 | 50 | 32.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 1 6yo · M · bt | 953216 | 48 | 40.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Tony Carroll · draw 9 6yo · M · b | 612266 | 47 | 37.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Gina Mangan · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 5 7yo · H · gr | 80605 | 45 | 24.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: D Donovan · draw 8 5yo · G · btbFT TB | 643602 | 51 | 32.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Symbol Of Hope) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Recon Mission (IRE) (10.00), 2. Fancy Dancer (GB) (6.50), 3. Symbol of Hope (GB) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 1.86s.
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