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RacingAlpha

19:20 Hamilton

#cleanstay At Hampton By Hilton Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4F·2.75
  1. 1st
    Tee Aitch Aye (IRE)AI top pick · 45.6
    Jack Nicholls·Iain Jardine
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Aurelune (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 3.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Scheffler (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Adrian Nicholls·beaten 2.5 lengths
    150/1·151.00
    SP
Race time
1m 51.10s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tee Aitch Aye (IRE))

Sat close up early - stumbled slightly after the first furlong - settled behind the pace to halfway - moved through nicely to hit the front 2f out - eased further ahead approaching the final furlong - kept finding more to score readily

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tee Aitch Aye

Tee Aitch Aye merits serious consideration despite sitting narrowly behind the top two in the ratings, as a progressive profile and a fitness edge over those rivals make the difference on the day, particularly on soft ground over eight furlongs at Hamilton where horses carrying momentum through their season can outrun bare figures. Keats House and Kelpie Grey both rate a pound or two higher and cannot be dismissed, while Palmarian also enters the reckoning as a live threat in a deep field for the grade. The selection is Tee Aitch Aye.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tee Aitch Aye

Jack Nicholls(3) · Iain Jardine · 5yo

Top-rated of 10
score 45.6 · +3.4 clear of next best (42.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 8-0-7-6-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Iain Jardine: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 3.50 (SportingIndex) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.95
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.02
High (8–10)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4
5yo · G · bp
807632
6045.6
7/4F·2.75
SP
28
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
3yo · F · b
53673
5841.4
12/1·13.00
SP
39
J: Connor Beasley · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 2
3yo · G · bb
399047
5831.7
150/1·151.00
SP
43
4yo · G · b
77555
5938.6
5/1·6.00
SP
510
4yo · G · bb
422687
5233.6
16/1·17.00
SP
65
J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
6yo · M · b
985435
5841.7
6/1·7.00
SP
74
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8
6yo · G · gr
860680
5936.4
8/1·9.00
SP
86
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10
8yo · G · b
953384
5741.7
17/2·9.50
SP
97
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 9
3yo · F · b
325689
5942.2
14/1·15.00
SP
102
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7
4yo · G · bh
951284
6039.5
9/1·10.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:20 Hamilton on 2 September 2026?

Tee Aitch Aye (IRE) won the 19:20 Hamilton at SP 2.75. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Hamilton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tee Aitch Aye, won the race (AI score 45.6).

What were the placings in the 19:20 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. Tee Aitch Aye (IRE) (2.75), 2. Aurelune (IRE) (13.00), 3. Scheffler (IRE) (151.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:20 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 51.10s.

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