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16:00 Ascot

Download The Tote App British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £21,600 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Applesandpears (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Edward Bethell
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    True Test (GB)
    Neil Callan·William Knight·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Luna Celeste (IRE)AI top pick · 68.7
    Saffie Osborne·Tom Clover·beaten 0.2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Applesandpears (GB))

Settled towards the back - pushed along and made ground inside final furlong - finished full of running to score late

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way68.7/100 rating
Luna Celeste
6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: True Test

True Test arrives at Ascot narrowly behind the top-rated Orion's Belt on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the gap between them is closing and could be overturned over this mile on good ground, with the step up in class looking well within range for a horse still on the upgrade. Orion's Belt heads the dangers as the top-rated runner and must be respected, while Tryst and Rosa Inglesa are capable of making this competitive across a well-matched middle section of the field. The verdict is given with the caveat that this is a tight and open affair, but the improving profile of True Test is the deciding factor. True Test is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Luna Celeste

Saffie Osborne · Tom Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 68.7 · +2.6 clear of next best (66.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    94very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 88
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Tom Clover: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: True Test (draw 8) and Date Line (draw 9) get the bias; Nanino Niyati (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
3yo · F · bpFT P
18366
8349.6
25/1·26.00
SP
26
J: Neil Callan · T: William Knight · draw 8
3yo · F · gr
420637
8966.1
11/1·12.00
SP
37
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Tom Clover · draw 5
3yo · F · b
21211
8868.7
4/1·5.00
SP
45
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 10
3yo · F · b
31319
9054.6
11/4F·3.75
SP
54
J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 4
3yo · F · bp
276110
9353.2
14/1·15.00
SP
69
3yo · F · b
212
8559.4
50/1·51.00
SP
78
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
4yo · F · b
27636
8353.9
9/1·10.00
SP
82
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2
4yo · F · cht
10337
9157.8
5/1·6.00
SP
93
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
3yo · F · b
62900
9545.3
40/1·41.00
SP
101
J: David Probert · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3
4yo · F · b
84142
9263.1
9/2·5.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Ascot on 5 September 2026?

Applesandpears (GB) won the 16:00 Ascot at SP 26.00. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Luna Celeste) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Applesandpears (GB) (26.00), 2. True Test (GB) (12.00), 3. Luna Celeste (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 39.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org