Who won the 16:00 Ascot on 5 September 2026?
Applesandpears (GB) won the 16:00 Ascot at SP 26.00. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Edward Bethell.
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1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £21,600 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Race time recorded.
“Settled towards the back - pushed along and made ground inside final furlong - finished full of running to score late”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
True Test arrives at Ascot narrowly behind the top-rated Orion's Belt on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the gap between them is closing and could be overturned over this mile on good ground, with the step up in class looking well within range for a horse still on the upgrade. Orion's Belt heads the dangers as the top-rated runner and must be respected, while Tryst and Rosa Inglesa are capable of making this competitive across a well-matched middle section of the field. The verdict is given with the caveat that this is a tight and open affair, but the improving profile of True Test is the deciding factor. True Test is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Saffie Osborne · Tom Clover · 3yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Today: True Test (draw 8) and Date Line (draw 9) get the bias; Nanino Niyati (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 3yo · F · bpFT P | 18366 | 83 | 49.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Neil Callan · T: William Knight · draw 8 3yo · F · gr | 420637 | 89 | 66.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Tom Clover · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 21211 | 88 | 68.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 31319 | 90 | 54.6 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 4 3yo · F · bp | 276110 | 93 | 53.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 212 | 85 | 59.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 27636 | 83 | 53.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2 4yo · F · cht | 10337 | 91 | 57.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 62900 | 95 | 45.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: David Probert · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 84142 | 92 | 63.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Applesandpears (GB) won the 16:00 Ascot at SP 26.00. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Edward Bethell.
No — the AI top pick (Luna Celeste) finished 3.
Top finishers: 1. Applesandpears (GB) (26.00), 2. True Test (GB) (12.00), 3. Luna Celeste (IRE) (5.00).
The winning time was 1m 39.61s.
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