Who won the 16:30 Kempton (AW) on 5 September 2026?
Primo Lara (IRE) won the 16:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.
16:30 Kempton (AW)
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £8,246 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stPrimo Lara (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Jane Chapple-Hyam5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndTiernan (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Iain Jardine·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdElsass (IRE)Rob Hornby·Charlie Johnston·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
2m 30.36s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Primo Lara (IRE))
“Settled in the pack - close to the front group with two furlongs to run - pushed to hit the front inside the final furlong and stayed on to prevail”
AI top-rated Whitcombe Rockstar (score 55.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.1/100 rating
Whitcombe Rockstar
11.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Astro King
Astro King heads this eleven-runner Class 3 contest at Kempton over a mile and a half on the all-weather rated narrowly ahead of a trio of rivals clustered together, and on balance of form he looks the one to be with at this level, his profile suggesting he is well suited to this type of conditions race. Haku, King's Code and Whitcombe Rockstar all come into the reckoning and will need to be respected, though none of them quite matches Astro King on the figures we hold. Provided he handles the standard-to-slow surface, which nothing in his profile contradicts, he should have enough in hand to assert. Astro King is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Whitcombe Rockstar
Josephine Gordon · Keiran Burke · 7yo
Top-rated of 11
score 55.1 · +0.0 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight65strong72d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight62averageOR 93
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 5-1-1-2-0-4
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Keiran Burke: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 11.50 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–11)
IV 0.83
Today: King's Code (draw 7) and Elsass (draw 8) get the bias; Tiernan (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 3 5yo · G · ch | 625114 | 86 | 52.3 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Iain Jardine · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 60215 | 85 | 55.1 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 110377 | 85 | 49.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 1 7yo · G · btv | 511204 | 93 | 55.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 5 7yo · G · b | 13738 | 95 | 46.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 4 9yo · G · bpFT P | 00054 | 95 | 46.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 71520 | 91 | 52.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Alexandra McDonnell(7) · T: David Evans · draw 7 6yo · G · bv | 005188 | 94 | 52.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 54186 | 83 | 54.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 23850 | 89 | 42.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jack Channon · draw 10 8yo · G · b | 74203 | 88 | 51.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Whitcombe Rockstar) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Primo Lara (IRE) (3.50), 2. Tiernan (IRE) (8.00), 3. Elsass (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 30.36s.
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