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RacingAlpha

13:30 Navan

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden

6f · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €15,000 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4F·2.25
  1. 1st
    Roeillaun (IRE)AI top pick · 43.1
    Colin Keane·Noel Meade
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ana Morello (IRE)
    Diego Lima·Diego Dias·beaten 1.5 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Marcescence (IRE)
    Gary Carroll·Gavin Cromwell·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.10s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Roeillaun (IRE))

Sat behind pace-setter on the inner - pushed along with a furlong and a half left - made up ground approaching final furlong - fought back to lead late and score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way18.4/100 rating
Essence Of Time
5.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Roeillaun

Colin Keane · Noel Meade · 2yo

Top-rated of 15
score 43.1 · +0.2 clear of next best (43.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 6-7-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Noel Meade: 0/31 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 2.44 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.11
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.77
High (11–15)
IV 1.10

Today: Lucy's Promise (draw 3) and Your A Daisy (draw 4) get the bias; Belle Island (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 15
2yo · F · ch
6723
7743.1
5/4F·2.25
SP
25
J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
66
14.0
16/1·17.00
SP
38
J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5
2yo · F · b
17.5
4/1·5.00
SP
413
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 14
2yo · F · b
5
16.0
15/2·8.50
SP
54
2yo · F · g
21.5
14/1·15.00
SP
66
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Michael Butler · draw 10
2yo · F · b
15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
714
2yo · F · b
076803
6239.8
11/1·12.00
SP
810
J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 12
2yo · F · b
6
11.0
100/1·101.00
SP
91
2yo · F · bhFT H
15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1011
J: Wayne Lordan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 4
2yo · F · b
23.5
11/2·6.50
SP
113
2yo · F · b
236068
6643.0
80/1·81.00
SP
127
J: Nathan Crosse · T: P F McEnery · draw 11
2yo · F · bhFT H
00
6.5
150/1·151.00
SP
1315
J: Jamie Powell · T: Chris Timmons · draw 1
2yo · F · b
15.0
50/1·51.00
SP
J: Leigh Roche · T: Jamie Heavey · draw 13
2yo · F · b
9
21.2
J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 6
2yo · F · b
72
18.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:30 Navan on 5 September 2026?

Roeillaun (IRE) won the 13:30 Navan at SP 2.25. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Noel Meade.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Navan?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Roeillaun, won the race (AI score 43.1).

What were the placings in the 13:30 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Roeillaun (IRE) (2.25), 2. Ana Morello (IRE) (17.00), 3. Marcescence (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:30 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 11.10s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org