Who won the 14:00 Navan on 5 September 2026?
Lars Soldier (IRE) won the 14:00 Navan at SP 6.50. Ridden by Wesley Joyce. Trained by Michael Mulvany.
14:00 Navan
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)
6f · Flat · Good · 10 runners · €20,101 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLars Soldier (IRE)Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndHowlin Wolf (IRE)Declan McDonogh·Jack W Davison·beaten 0.2 lengths17/2·9.50SP
- 3rdLady Patrona (GB)Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 0.2 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
1m 10.76s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lars Soldier (IRE))
“Settled off the pace on the near flank - pushed along with 2f left and up to 4th entering final furlong - rallied strongly late to get up right on the line”
AI top-rated La Tache (score 59.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way59.8/100 rating
La Tache
10.007Bet
Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Supreme Lord
Supreme Lord rates 5 lb below the top-rated Lady Patrona on paper, but his progressive profile suggests he is a horse still on the upgrade and capable of outrunning that deficit over six furlongs at Navan on good ground. Lady Patrona, La Tache and Lars Soldier all pose genuine threats and cannot be dismissed lightly, with the first-named in particular looking the chief rival on raw merit. The confidence here is modest, and this is a speculative call, but a horse continuing to improve can surprise more exposed rivals. The selection is Supreme Lord.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
La Tache
Colin Keane · G M Lyons · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 59.8 · +1.8 clear of next best (58.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight60averageOR 90 — above field median
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 6-4-1-4
- Trainer20% weight48below averageG M Lyons: 5/26 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 10.00 (7Bet) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Navan 6f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.11
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.77
High (8–10)
IV 1.10
Today: Lady Patrona (draw 1) and Howlin Wolf (draw 3) get the bias; I Ready (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 534255 | 83 | 47.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Jack W Davison · draw 3 2yo · G · bpFT P | 77412 | 73 | 44.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 2yo · F · ch | 2441 | 81 | 54.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 8 2yo · C · bb | 6414 | 90 | 59.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Patrick Magee · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 87166 | 77 | 42.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 076 | 69 | 44.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 3551 | 91 | 58.0 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 27878 | 70 | 39.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Paddy Harnett(3) · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 9 2yo · C · btbFT TB | 323306 | 85 | 48.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 5 2yo · G · btb | 658142 | 84 | 49.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Navan?
No — the AI top pick (La Tache) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Navan?
Top finishers: 1. Lars Soldier (IRE) (6.50), 2. Howlin Wolf (IRE) (9.50), 3. Lady Patrona (GB) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Navan?
The winning time was 1m 10.76s.
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