Who won the 16:55 Navan on 5 September 2026?
Millhone (IRE) won the 16:55 Navan at SP 5.00. Ridden by Rory Mulligan. Trained by Charles Weld.
16:55 Navan
IrelandReturn Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div II)
1m2f · Flat · Good · 21 runners · €6,000 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stMillhone (IRE)Rory Mulligan·Charles Weld4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndConnova (IRE)Rory Cleary·Ms Sheila Lavery·beaten 2.75 lengths100/30F·4.33SP
- 3rdNibras Rainbow (IRE)Leigh Roche·Paul W Flynn·beaten 3.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
2m 6.24s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Millhone (IRE))
“Contested front spot early - settled just behind pace after a furlong - second at the halfway stage - moving strongly to challenge 3f out - hit the front with 2½f left - pushed clear 1½f out and stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way40.6/100 rating
Connova
6.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Connova
Connova rates a pound behind Trishuli River on these figures but is preferred on the basis of a progressive profile and what appears to be a fitness edge in a wide-open field of twenty-four on ten furlongs of good ground at Navan. Trishuli River heads the ratings and must be respected as the principal danger, while Miss Crinshawn and Millhone are also capable of making their presence felt in a competitive renewal. Confidence is modest given the size of the field and the slender margin between several of the leading contenders, but on balance the upward trajectory gives the selection the edge. The pick is Connova.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Onyeisi
Top-rated of 24
score 42.4 · +0.9 clear of next best (41.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Karl Thornton: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong3d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
- Form20% weight8weakLast 6: 7-4-0-7-0-0
MarketBest price 1001.00 (Dragon Bet) · 22nd in the market of 24.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Navan 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–8)
IV 1.03
Mid (9–16)
IV 1.05
High (17–24)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Charles Weld · draw 22 3yo · F · chbFT B | 792232 | 60 | 39.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 20 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 12 3yo · F · ch | 04334 | 43 | 40.6 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 3 6yo · G · bb | 321393 | 58 | 40.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 19 9yo · M · bt | 40030 | 45 | 28.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 18 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 13 3yo · F · br | 30638 | 45 | 31.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 17 3yo · F · bt | 6700 | 60 | 40.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 14 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 11 3yo · F · bt | 429660 | 49 | 31.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 15 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Luke W Comer · draw 21 6yo · C · b | 84434 | 43 | 26.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 8 7yo · G · bb | 105589 | 53 | 29.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 18 3yo · G · bbFT B | 00670 | 51 | 25.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Shane Crawley · draw 9 6yo · M · btp | 523008 | 48 | 28.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 12 | 9 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 0807 | 54 | 29.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 13 | 13 | J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 1 8yo · M · b | 506000 | 44 | 41.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 14 | 17 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 4 3yo · F · bt | 695260 | 46 | 30.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 15 | 4 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 7 6yo · M · btpFT TP | 32U70 | 54 | 31.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 16 | 23 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Shane Gallagher · draw 24 7yo · G · baygreytb | 07890 | 40 | 31.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 17 | 8 | J: Luke McAteer · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 5 3yo · F · bt | 278410 | 55 | 36.1 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 18 | 7 | J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 6 3yo · C · ch | 0600 | 58 | 27.1 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 19 | 22 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: D Buckley · draw 20 6yo · G · ch | 40076 | 40 | 22.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 20 | 19 | J: Sean Davis · T: Ian Patrick Donoghue · draw 23 3yo · F · btpFT TP | 786987 | 44 | 30.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 21 | 16 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Thomas Dowling · draw 14 3yo · G · bpFT P | 0900 | 47 | 22.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Karl Thornton · draw 15 3yo · G · b | 740700 | 52 | 42.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 16 3yo · G · baybrownpFT P | 03567 | 40 | 36.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Ben Coen · T: Peter Fahey · draw 10 4yo · F · bpFT P | 424370 | 57 | 32.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Navan?
No — the AI top pick (Onyeisi) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 16:55 Navan?
Top finishers: 1. Millhone (IRE) (5.00), 2. Connova (IRE) (4.33), 3. Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:55 Navan?
The winning time was 2m 6.24s.
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