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16:02 Leicester

Quality Freight Services Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 53.3 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 16/1·18.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way45.6/100 rating
Mumayaz
9.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.70 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Court AlertDiffers from our pick

Court Alert has shown a progressive profile that makes her an intriguing alternative to the top-rated Trust Amy, who holds a narrow five-pound advantage on paper but may not carry the same fitness edge into this Class 5 six-furlong contest on good-to-soft ground at Leicester. Harry's Halo and Mumayaz are credible dangers and should not be underestimated in what looks a competitive sprint, though neither appears to offer the upward trajectory that makes Court Alert appealing at this stage of her campaign. The confidence level is modest, and any one of the trio ahead on ratings could take this if reproducing their best, but the case for an improving horse catching the field in a forgiving spot is a sound one. Court Alert is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Yachtsman

Jonny Peate · Jack Morland · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 53.3 · +0.5 clear of next best (52.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Jack Morland: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 4-7-1-4-9-4
MarketBest price 18.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.13
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–12)
IV 0.92

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 111 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: Jonny Peate · T: Jack Morland · draw 11 · combo 1/13 (8%)
3yo · G · btDOnly rideOnly runner
471494
6853.312/1·13.8318·18.00
Matchbook · +30% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Sean D Bowen · T: John Ryan · draw 5
7yo · G · brOnly runner
772850
6752.828/1·29.0524·24.00
Smarkets · -17% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 9 · combo 7/25 (28%)
7yo · G · bOnly pairing
143567
6845.611/1·11.7617/2·9.50
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 10/73 (14%)
5yo · G · bp
439723
6245.16/1·6.925.5·5.50
Matchbook · -20% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 2 · combo 16/141 (11%)
3yo · G · brtFT T
84327
6545.116/1·17.9812/1·13.00
BetTom · -28% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 4 · combo 3/13 (23%)
6yo · G · chtOnly runner
70332
6944.54/1·5.194.3·4.30
Smarkets · -17% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Rob Hornby · T: David Evans · draw 12
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
33375
6442.411/1·11.7615.5·15.50
Smarkets · +32% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
11
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3
4yo · G · btDOnly runner
704315
5741.714/1·15.2210/1·11.00
7Bet · -28% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 1 · combo 1/21 (5%)
3yo · G · bbOnly runner
555415
6541.611/1·12.4512·12.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
12
J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 10
4yo · G · chDOnly ride
621394
5538.016/1·17.9823·23.00
Smarkets · +28% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: David Egan · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 6
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
55288
6037.020/1·20.7518·18.00
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Grace McEntee · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 7
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly ride
88397
6934.111/1·12.459.8·9.80
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Quality Freight Services Handicap Stakes?

The Quality Freight Services Handicap Stakes is off at 16:02 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:02 Leicester?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:02 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:02 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Yachtsman (score 53.3, best price 18.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:02 Leicester?

The market favourite is Harry's Halo at a best price of 4.30. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Yachtsman.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org