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16:18 Galway

Ireland

Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race

1m½f · Flat · Yielding · 9 runners · €12,000 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 59.0 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50
Best value vs consensus
13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 13.06)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way59.0/100 rating
Never Loose
4.50Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lord MassususDiffers from our pick

Lord Massusus heads this Galway field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of nearest challengers Never Loose and Clear Quartz, and looks well placed to translate that advantage into a winning performance over eight furlongs on good-to-soft ground. Never Loose and Clear Quartz represent the most credible threats and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Eddie G also warrants respect from those chasing the principals. Lord Massusus is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Never Loose

Seamie Heffernan · J A Stack · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 59.0 · +1.1 clear of next best (57.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    153d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 1-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=8)
    J A Stack: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82
MarketBest price 4.50 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Galway 1m½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.34).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.34
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.82
High (7–9)
IV 0.81

Today: Java Wood (draw 2) and Amenita (draw 3) get the bias; Eddie G (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 70 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 6 · combo 4/32 (13%)
4yo · F · bOnly runner
14
8259.05/1·5.877/2·4.50
Hollywood Bets · -23% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
6
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: K Smith · draw 2
6yo · G · gDGoing 2/4Only runner
013071
7357.915/2·8.498.2·8.20
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 3 · combo 9/83 (11%)
3yo · F · bD
619
7951.812/1·13.0613.5·13.50
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
4
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 7 · combo 12/97 (12%)
5yo · G · btCGoing 1/2Only runner
939118
8050.79/1·10.448/1·9.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
7
J: W J Lee · T: Conor O'Dwyer · draw 4
7yo · M · bC&DGoing 1/3Only runner
016011
7345.86/1·7.186·6.00
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
9
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 0/11 (0%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
689826
7244.89/1·10.4410·10.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
2
J: Joseph Harnett(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 5 · combo 1/11 (9%)
9yo · G · gOnly pairing
82807
8441.612/1·13.0610/1·11.00
Betano · -16% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: Shane Foley · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 9
5yo · G · grOnly runner
745670
7639.225/1·27.4222/1·23.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 8 · combo 1/27 (4%)
6yo · G · brtbFT TBOnly runner
678050
8838.54/1·5.227/2·4.50
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race?

The Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race is off at 16:18 on 8 September 2026 at Galway (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:18 Galway?

1m½f, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:18 Galway?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:18 Galway?

The AI top-rated runner is Never Loose (score 59.0, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:18 Galway?

The market favourite is Lord Massusus at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Never Loose.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org