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17:30 Galway

Ireland

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden

7f · Flat · Yielding · 12 runners · €15,000 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 49.3 · +10.1 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.00
Best value vs consensus
28/1·29.00 Bet365 · +10% vs fair (consensus 26.42)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way23.3/100 rating
Shenata
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lunar Empress

Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 49.3 · +10.1 clear of next best (39.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    46below average
    Last 6: 2-5-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Mrs John Harrington: 2/28 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 4.00 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Galway 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.54).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.54
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.33
High (9–12)
IV 1.05

Today: Katiraya (draw 2) and Armarone's Girl (draw 3) get the bias; Lunar Empress (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 49 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6 · combo 19/184 (10%)
2yo · F · bpFT P
254
8049.34/1·4.873/1·4.00
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
6
J: Gavin Ryan · T: P J F Murphy · draw 8 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly ride
5848
7439.222/1·23.6420/1·21.00
Paddy Power · -11% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
9
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 · combo 16/140 (11%)
2yo · F · brpFT P
63
23.311/2·6.265/1·6.00
Bet365 · -4% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
8
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 2 · combo 9/83 (11%)
2yo · F · b
85
22.28/1·9.047.4·7.40
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
2yo · F · gOnly runner
6
20.56/1·7.0211/2·6.50
Bet365 · -7% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
2
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Cian Hughes · draw 3
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
60
19.8100/1·112.64150/1·151.00
Paddy Power · +34% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 4 · combo 10/80 (13%)
2yo · F · b
75
15.04/1·4.874·4.00
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
3
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 16/100 (16%)
2yo · F · b
0
15.025/1·26.4228/1·29.00
Bet365 · +10% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
7
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 7/95 (7%)
2yo · F · ch
0
15.018/1·18.0818·18.00
Matchbook
Compare 27 books ▾
11
J: Wayne Lordan · T: T J O'Mara · draw 10
2yo · F · b
15.0100/1·93.18100/1·101.00
Boyle Sports · +8% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
12
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 12 · combo 2/10 (20%)
2yo · F · ch
15.066/1·70.9266/1·67.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
10
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 9 · combo 10/84 (12%)
2yo · F · ch
0
12.5150/1·140.46200/1·201.00
Bet Victor · +43% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 39% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden?

The Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden is off at 17:30 on 8 September 2026 at Galway (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Galway?

7f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:30 Galway?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Galway?

The AI top-rated runner is Lunar Empress (score 49.3, best price 4.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Galway?

The market favourite is Churchill Bond at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lunar Empress.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org