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18:30 Galway

Ireland

Ardilaun Hotel Irish EBF Oyster Stakes (Listed)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding · 16 runners · €31,500 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 64.0 · +3.3 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.50
Best value vs consensus
80/1·81.00 Bet365 · +9% vs fair (consensus 74.33)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way64.0/100 rating
Nuit
11.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: SnapretendDiffers from our pick

Snapretend holds a clear fitness edge and has been progressing through the grades in a way that makes her current rating of 104 look well within reach of conversion, and with the step up to twelve furlongs on good-to-soft ground at Galway appearing to suit her profile, there is a genuine case that she can outrun the top-rated Beset, who is rated three pounds clear but may not have the same freshness coming into this field of sixteen. Galileo Dame and Nuit are worthy dangers on their respective figures and must not be dismissed in a race where the confidence level is tempered by the competitive nature of this Class 1 contest. Snapretend is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nuit

Colin Keane · Henry De Bromhead · 4yo

Top-rated of 16
score 64.0 · +3.3 clear of next best (60.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    50d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    65average
    Last 6: 0-2-4-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    64average
    OR 96 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Henry De Bromhead: 5/24 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 11.50 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Galway 1m4f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.34).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.34
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.82
High (12–16)
IV 0.81

Today: Teologia (draw 4) and Navy Waters (draw 3) get the bias; Snapretend (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 70 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
NuitPick
J: Colin Keane · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 10 · combo 2/5 (40%)
4yo · F · btOn last winning markOnly pairing
02441
9664.010/1·10.9311.5·11.50
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
1
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 · combo 7/95 (7%)
5yo · M · bp
21125
10660.710/3·4.203.05·3.05
Betfair Exchange · -27% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
16
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 16/100 (16%)
3yo · F · bp
921115
9260.49/1·10.2015/2·8.50
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
10
J: Scott McCullagh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13 · combo 1/8 (13%)
4yo · F · bOnly ride
32264
10259.117/2·9.478.4·8.40
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
8
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 3 · combo 10/63 (16%)
5yo · M · gvOnly pairing
354533
8458.418/1·18.9514/1·15.00
Bet365 · -21% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
13
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 14 · combo 16/140 (11%)
3yo · F · chpFT P
214
9756.615/2·8.746/1·7.00
Bet365 · -20% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
6
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 6
5yo · M · bOnly runner
1021
8754.725/1·24.7820/1·21.00
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
4yo · F · brOnly pairing
8231
7653.880/1·74.3366/1·67.00
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
5
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 15
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
18738
8253.4100/1·118.05100/1·101.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
12
3yo · F · btOnly pairing
03215
8752.528/1·30.6122/1·23.00
Bet365 · -25% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
4
J: Chris Hayes · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 · combo 1/8 (13%)
5yo · M · chpOnly pairing
247703
9250.218/1·18.9519·19.00
Matchbook
Compare 27 books ▾
11
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 8 · combo 3/38 (8%)
4yo · F · bOnly ride
00077
8449.880/1·74.3366/1·67.00
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
2
4yo · F · btOnly pairing
08937
8849.080/1·74.3366/1·67.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -10% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
15
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 2/26 (8%)
3yo · F · bpFT P
77998
8548.280/1·74.3350/1·51.00
Bet Victor · -31% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
7
J: Adam Caffrey · T: H Rogers · draw 16
7yo · M · bpOnly runner
53640
7839.780/1·74.3380/1·81.00
Bet365 · +9% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
14
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 18/110 (16%)
3yo · F · bb
13
32.79/1·10.206/1·7.00
BetTom · -31% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 46% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ardilaun Hotel Irish EBF Oyster Stakes (Listed)?

The Ardilaun Hotel Irish EBF Oyster Stakes (Listed) is off at 18:30 on 8 September 2026 at Galway (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Galway?

1m4f, Class 1, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Galway?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Galway?

The AI top-rated runner is Nuit (score 64.0, best price 11.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Galway?

The market favourite is Beset at a best price of 3.05. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Nuit.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org