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RacingAlpha

14:55 Doncaster

Feature

Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · £93,572 · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/5F·1.80
  1. 1st
    More Thunder (IRE)AI top pick · 73.9
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Flora Of Bermuda (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.75 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Qirat (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.31s

Race time recorded.

In-running (More Thunder (IRE))

“Settled at rear early - urged forward with a furlong left - made rapid progress soon after - powered clear near the line to prevail”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way68.2/100 rating
Flora Of Bermuda
8.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Never So Brave

Never So Brave arrives here on a progressive profile that suggests the current ratings do not tell the full story, and while More Thunder holds a narrow edge on paper, there is a reasonable case that our selection is still on the upgrade and capable of bridging that gap over this seven-furlong Doncaster test. Witness Stand and Flora Of Bermuda both sit close in the ratings and must be respected as genuine dangers, meaning this is a competitive Class 1 with slim margins throughout. On balance, Never So Brave is the pick, though punters should be aware the confidence in this call is modest given the quality ranged against him.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

More Thunder

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 73.9 · +5.7 clear of next best (68.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 119 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    William Haggas: 16/58 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 4-2-2-4-5
MarketBest price 1.97 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–8)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 6
5yo · H · b
42245
11973.9
4/5F·1.80
SP
27
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
5yo · M · b
10110
11168.2
6/1·7.00
SP
34
5yo · G · cht
471492
11368.2
11/1·12.00
SP
48
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5
3yo · C · bpFT P
15407
11066.6
12/1·13.00
SP
56
5yo · G · btp
082636
11157.7
33/1·34.00
SP
63
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8
5yo · G · b
55265
11465.9
5/1·6.00
SP
72
J: David Allan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 4
5yo · G · b
25127
10753.2
66/1·67.00
SP
85
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
5yo · G · b
38232
10961.9
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:55 Doncaster on 12 September 2026?

More Thunder (IRE) won the 14:55 Doncaster at SP 1.80. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:55 Doncaster?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, More Thunder, won the race (AI score 73.9).

What were the placings in the 14:55 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. More Thunder (IRE) (1.80), 2. Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) (7.00), 3. Qirat (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:55 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 24.31s.

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