16:45 Doncaster

Tanbry Construction Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 15 runners · £13,085 · Friday, 11 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Beresford Gap (IRE)
Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Launch Sequence (IRE)
James Doyle·K. R. Burke·beaten 1.25 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP
3rd
Super Tuscan (IRE)
Oliver Carmichael·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten .75 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Beresford Gap (IRE))

“Set the pace throughout - urged along and edged off a true line inside final furlong under pressure - held on gamely for the win”

AI top-rated Henley On Thames (score 66.1) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way66.1/100 rating

Henley On Thames

7.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Pride Of Toledo

Pride Of Toledo heads the field on our ratings, narrowly ahead of Super Tuscan and It Dunt Marra, and that slender edge on a competitive six-furlong card at Doncaster on good-to-soft ground is enough to side with him here. The selection has shown the kind of consistent form that makes him a credible proposition in a Class 4 contest of this nature, and the conditions should pose no problem. Super Tuscan and It Dunt Marra are the chief threats, with Launch Sequence also entitled to be in the mix at the business end, so this is no foregone conclusion. Pride Of Toledo is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Henley On Thames

David Egan · Kevin Philippart De Foy · 2yo

Top-rated of 16

score 66.1 · +2.0 clear of next best (64.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
87very strong
Last 6: 6-2-2-1-1
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 83
Trainer20% weight
55average
Kevin Philippart De Foy: 4/18 winners last 14d (22%)

MarketBest price 7.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 0.96

Mid (7–11)

IV 0.93

High (12–16)

IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 155 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	13	Beresford Gap J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 2yo · C · b	632	8-12	74	—	—	55.1	12/1·13.00 SP
2	3	Launch Sequence J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 2yo · C · bpFT P	336	9-09	85	—	—	59.3	100/30·4.33 SP
3	6	Super Tuscan J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 10 2yo · G · gr	541562	9-06	82	—	—	53.4	16/1·17.00 SP
4	5	Henley On Thames J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 12 2yo · C · ch	62211	9-07	83	—	—	66.1	9/2·5.50 SP
5	2	Pride Of Toledo J: P J McDonald · T: Clive Cox · draw 8 2yo · C · b	514	9-09	85	—	—	57.0	3/1F·4.00 SP
6	1	Innichen J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 11 2yo · C · ch	211303	9-09	85	—	—	56.6	11/1·12.00 SP
7	9	Tumishi J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 2 2yo · C · gr	431	9-04	80	—	—	64.2	12/1·13.00 SP
8	8	Washington Royale J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Appleby · draw 9 2yo · C · b	4551	9-05	75	—	—	49.4	8/1·9.00 SP
9	11	Wait Geordie J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5 2yo · G · b	138785	9-00	76	—	—	42.0	40/1·41.00 SP
10	12	Sir Sirius J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 13 2yo · G · b	963	8-13	75	—	—	45.5	50/1·51.00 SP
11	10	Bear Lee J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 2yo · F · b	41454	9-01	77	—	—	47.8	18/1·19.00 SP
12	15	Fasthope J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 15 2yo · G · b	35518	8-07	69	—	—	43.8	80/1·81.00 SP
13	4	Baddaddan J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 14 2yo · G · b	410	9-07	83	—	—	59.3	11/1·12.00 SP
14	7	It Dunt Marra J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 4 2yo · C · b	2619	9-05	81	—	—	49.8	18/1·19.00 SP
15	14	Sue's Last Chance J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 2yo · G · chpFT P	6580	8-10	72	—	—	42.7	80/1·81.00 SP
—	—	Fern Clyde J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 16 2yo · F · chht	431346	8-07	69	—	—	50.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Doncaster on 11 September 2026?

Beresford Gap (IRE) won the 16:45 Doncaster at SP 13.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Henley On Thames) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Beresford Gap (IRE) (13.00), 2. Launch Sequence (IRE) (4.33), 3. Super Tuscan (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 12.21s.

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