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15:36 Catterick

Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £4,004 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 54.2 · +1.6 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.00

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
21·21.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair (consensus 19.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.6/100 rating
Ideal Guest
4.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kings MerchantAgrees with our pick

Kings Merchant rates narrowly behind the top-rated Winter Crown on these figures, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge make a compelling case for preferring him in this Class 6 sprint at Catterick over six furlongs on good ground. Winter Crown heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Hi Lord and Solar Cooper also possess the ability to make their presence felt. Kings Merchant gets a tentative vote in an open heat.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Kings Merchant

Kevin Stott · Philip Kirby · 5yo

Top-rated of 10
score 54.2 · +1.6 clear of next best (52.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    38d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Philip Kirby: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 7-8-2-1-4-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.00 (Star Sports) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.79
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Kings Merchant (draw 2) and Ideal Guest (draw 1) get the bias; One Of Our Own (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Kevin Stott · T: Philip Kirby · draw 2
5yo · G · bpGoing 1/4Only runner
782145
6354.24/1·5.193/1·4.00
Star Sports · -23% vs fair
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6
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 1 · combo 1/8 (13%)
7yo · G · bhDGoing 1/3Only pairing
30415
5952.69/2·5.624.8·4.80
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 9 · combo 2/26 (8%)
4yo · G · gr
223313
6141.311/2·6.4913.5·13.50
Matchbook · +108% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 24/239 (10%)
7yo · G · btbClass dropGoing 1/3
227407
6240.915/2·8.437·7.00
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Clifford Lee · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 5
6yo · M · btpOnly pairing
416365
5840.211/1·11.6810/1·11.00
Bet365 · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 6 · combo 2/52 (4%)
7yo · G · brv
013385
4839.112/1·13.3012.5·12.50
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Oisin Orr · T: Mark Walford · draw 10
3yo · G · bpClass dropOnly ride
801696
6138.025/1·24.6623·23.00
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
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2
J: Barry McHugh · T: W H Harrison · draw 7 · combo 1/8 (13%)
4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
513730
6336.89/1·10.389.6·9.60
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Jack Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 4 · combo 1/10 (10%)
6yo · G · bOnly pairing
14098
6228.718/1·19.4621·21.00
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 3
4yo · F · bhOnly rideOnly runner
995058
4625.4150/1·131.06125/1·126.00
Bet365 · -4% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 15:36 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:36 Catterick?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:36 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:36 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Kings Merchant (score 54.2, best price 4.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:36 Catterick?

The market favourite is Kings Merchant at a best price of 4.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org