Who won the 14:40 Chester on 12 September 2026?
Regency Royal (GER) won the 14:40 Chester at SP 4.33. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Andrew Balding.
14:40 Chester
British Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Qual) (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Soft · 8 runners · £15,462 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stRegency Royal (GER)Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndGreen Star (IRE)Grace McEntee·George Boughey·beaten 2.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdNight Star (IRE)AI top pick · 49.7Joe Leavy·Richard Hannon·beaten 3 lengths6/4J·2.50SP
Race time
1m 27.08s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Regency Royal (GER))
“sat close up behind the front group - short of racing room approaching 2f out - found space and moved into second with a furlong left - pushed into the front spot inside the final furlong - edged away easily and won comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way24.2/100 rating
Regency Royal
5.50Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Night Star
Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 49.7 · +15.5 clear of next best (34.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong9d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 5-3-3-2
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight13weakRichard Hannon: 3/59 winners last 14d (5%)
MarketBest price 2.82 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chester 7f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.11
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.75
High (7–8)
IV 1.11
Today: Regency Royal (draw 3) and Green Star (draw 1) get the bias; National Pride (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 84 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 20 | — | 24.2 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Grace McEntee · T: George Boughey · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 5332 | 82 | 49.7 | 6/4J·2.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 62 | — | 34.2 | 6/4J·2.50 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Harry Russell · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 8 | — | 19.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 9 | — | 12.2 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 09 | — | 13.3 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 2yo · G · b | — | — | 23.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Chester?
No — the AI top pick (Night Star) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:40 Chester?
Top finishers: 1. Regency Royal (GER) (4.33), 2. Green Star (IRE) (12.00), 3. Night Star (IRE) (2.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:40 Chester?
The winning time was 1m 27.08s.
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